MinnesotaGolden Gophers

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsBuffaloBUF	W23-10
2	9/06	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W66-0
3	9/13	@CaliforniaCAL	Win prob:52%
5	9/27	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:71%
6	10/04	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:9%
7	10/11	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:90%
8	10/17	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:71%
9	10/25	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:34%
10	11/01	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:83%
12	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:16%
13	11/22	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:78%
14	11/29	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:65%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.1%	97.8%
8-1	1.8%	47.2%
7-2	11.2%	2.3%
6-3	27.3%	0%
5-4	31.9%	0%
4-5	19.6%	0%
3-6	6.8%	0%
2-7	1.3%	0%
1-8	0.1%	0%
0-9	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

55.3%

25.4%

10.5%

5.3%

3.5%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Central MichiganCMU@MichiganMICH	1.1% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@Penn StatePSU	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@UCLAUCLA	1.1% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Houston ChristianHCU@NebraskaNEB	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Youngstown StateYSU@Michigan StateMSU	1.3% (+0.1%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@IllinoisILL	1.3% (+0.1%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
USCUSC@PurduePUR	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.5% (+0.3%)
Indiana StateINST@IndianaIU	1.0% (-0.2%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@CaliforniaCAL	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA	1.2% (+0.1%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
OhioOHIO@Ohio StateOSU	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Norfolk StateNORF@RutgersRUTG	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
TowsonTOW@MarylandMD	1.3% (+0.1%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
OregonORE@NorthwesternNU	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.4% (+0.2%)
MassachusettsMASS@IowaIOWA	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

95.7%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

50.2%

1.0%

100.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

68.3%

<0.1%

64.7%

<0.1%

53.2%

0.2%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

45.5%

<0.1%

38.9%

0.5%

Any 2 losses

8.1%

6.6%

75.0%

<0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

67.0%

<0.1%

65.2%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

52.9%

<0.1%

51.3%

0.2%

50.0%

<0.1%

36.9%

0.5%

25.0%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.9%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.2%

<0.1%

7.8%

0.1%

6.8%

0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

5.7%

<0.1%

5.6%

0.1%

4.4%

0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

3.8%

0.2%

3.7%

0.1%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.1%

0.3%

2.8%

0.5%

2.3%

1.0%

2.0%

0.2%

1.8%

<0.1%

0.6%

2.7%

Any 3 losses

2.3%

5.2%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

10.8%

<0.1%

9.5%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.0%

<0.1%

6.9%

0.1%

6.5%

<0.1%

5.0%

<0.1%

4.4%

0.2%

4.3%

0.3%

4.0%

0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

3.6%

0.4%

3.2%

<0.1%

2.7%

<0.1%

2.4%

0.2%

2.2%

<0.1%

1.9%

0.1%

1.8%

0.9%

0.8%

2.4%

1.2%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com