WisconsinBadgers

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsMiami (OH)M-OH	W17-0
2	9/06	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	W42-10
3	9/13	@AlabamaALA	Win prob:20%
4	9/20	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:66%
6	10/04	@MichiganMICH	Win prob:19%
7	10/11	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:42%
8	10/18	vsOhio StateOSU	Win prob:12%
9	10/25	@OregonORE	Win prob:12%
11	11/08	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:53%
12	11/15	@IndianaIU	Win prob:16%
13	11/22	vsIllinoisILL	Win prob:57%
14	11/29	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:35%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	0%
8-1	0.0%	85.7%
7-2	0.4%	23.7%
6-3	3.2%	0.4%
5-4	11.0%	0%
4-5	23.6%	0%
3-6	30.1%	0%
2-7	21.9%	0%
1-8	8.5%	0%
0-9	1.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

64.3%

21.4%

7.1%

7.1%

0.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Central MichiganCMU@MichiganMICH	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@Penn StatePSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@UCLAUCLA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Houston ChristianHCU@NebraskaNEB	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
Youngstown StateYSU@Michigan StateMSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@IllinoisILL	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
USCUSC@PurduePUR	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Indiana StateINST@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@CaliforniaCAL	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
OhioOHIO@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Norfolk StateNORF@RutgersRUTG	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
TowsonTOW@MarylandMD	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
OregonORE@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@IowaIOWA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

80.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

50.4%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

15.4%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

17.9%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

55.6%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

38.9%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

23.8%

<0.1%

23.8%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.1%

<0.1%

15.0%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

5.6%

<0.1%

3.2%

<0.1%

1.5%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

5.7%

0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

5.4%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com