Cincinnati

CincinnatiBearcats

2-1 T3rd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CincinnatiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsNebraskaNEB(N)
L17-20
29/06
vsBowling GreenBGSU
W34-20
39/13
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
W70-0
59/27
@KansasKU
Win prob:28%
610/04
vsIowa StISU
Win prob:41%
710/11
vsUCFUCF
Win prob:51%
810/18
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:81%
910/25
vsBaylorBAY
Win prob:47%
1011/01
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:25%
1211/15
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:65%
1311/22
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:35%
1411/29
@TCUTCU
Win prob:18%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.4%
99.8%
7-2
2.6%
72.8%
6-3
9.3%
9.0%
5-4
20.5%
0%
4-5
28.3%
0%
3-6
23.7%
0%
2-7
11.8%
0%
1-8
3.0%
0%
0-9
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Cincinnati CCG Opponents

if Cincinnati makes the CCG

TCUTCU
29.7%
Arizona StateArizona St
24.5%
BYUBYU
17.0%
Iowa StateIowa St
15.6%
UtahUtah
13.2%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiThis Week's Impact

Game
CincinnatiCCG OddsAway
CincinnatiCCG OddsHome
North CarolinaUNC@UCFUCF
3.1%
(+0.0%)		3.1%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@KansasKU
3.3%
(+0.1%)		3.1%
(-0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@Oklahoma StOKST
3.1%
(+0.0%)		3.1%
(+0.0%)
SMUSMU@TCUTCU
3.2%
(+0.0%)		3.1%
(-0.0%)
Texas TechTTU@UtahUTAH
2.8%
(-0.3%)		3.4%
(+0.2%)
BYUBYU@East CarolinaECU
3.1%
(-0.0%)		3.2%
(+0.1%)
Arizona StASU@BaylorBAY
2.9%
(-0.2%)		3.4%
(+0.3%)
WyomingWYO@ColoradoCOLO
3.5%
(+0.3%)		3.1%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Cincinnati

North CarolinaNorth CarolinaKansasKansasTulsaTulsaSMUSMUUtahUtahEast CarolinaEast CarolinaBaylorBaylorWyomingWyoming

CCG: 18.2% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Cincinnati

UtahUtahBaylorBaylor

CCG: 3.7% • Scenario: 24.9%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Cincinnati CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
99.8%
0.4%
TCU
100.0%
0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Baylor
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
98.4%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
72.8%
2.6%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa St
93.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
90.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
89.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
85.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
84.0%
<0.1%
BYUUCF
83.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
83.3%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
81.8%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
81.8%
<0.1%
BYUBaylor
80.8%
<0.1%
UCFUtah
80.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
78.0%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
77.8%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
77.8%
<0.1%
TCUUCF
77.3%
0.1%
ArizonaUtah
77.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas
77.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYU
76.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansas
74.8%
0.1%
Iowa StUCF
74.4%
<0.1%
BaylorUtah
73.7%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
73.0%
0.2%
Oklahoma StUtah
72.2%
<0.1%
BYUIowa St
71.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
71.7%
0.1%
BaylorUCF
71.4%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
70.7%
0.3%
KansasTCU
70.0%
0.3%
BYUTCU
69.7%
0.2%
BaylorIowa St
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorTCU
63.6%
0.1%
BYUUtah
62.0%
0.1%
Iowa StTCU
61.5%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
9.1%
9.3%
BYUIowa StOklahoma St
37.5%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorOklahoma St
30.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
BYUKansasOklahoma St
28.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
27.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasOklahoma St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUCF
24.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFUtah
22.2%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
19.2%
0.1%
BYUBaylorUCF
19.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma St
18.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUKansas
17.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StUCFUtah
17.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUTCU
17.1%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCU
17.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansas
16.3%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTCU
16.2%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorKansas
16.2%
0.1%
ArizonaBYUBaylor
15.8%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorIowa St
15.8%
<0.1%
BYUKansasUCF
15.5%
0.1%
BaylorIowa StUCF
15.4%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUtah
15.2%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUCF
14.8%
0.2%
ArizonaBYUUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StOklahoma St
14.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah
13.8%
<0.1%
BYUUCFUtah
13.8%
0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas
13.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUCF
13.6%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
13.3%
0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCU
13.1%
0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
13.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
12.8%
0.2%
ArizonaUCFUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtah
11.7%
0.2%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUUtah
10.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
10.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUtah
10.5%
0.2%
BaylorKansasTCU
10.4%
0.3%
BaylorIowa StKansas
10.3%
0.1%
BaylorUCFUtah
10.1%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUtah
9.7%
0.2%
TCUUCFUtah
9.6%
0.3%
Iowa StKansasUCF
9.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUCF
8.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtah
8.8%
<0.1%
BYUKansasUtah
8.5%
0.3%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
8.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtah
8.3%
0.3%
ArizonaKansasUCF
8.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
7.6%
0.8%
ArizonaIowa StTCU
7.4%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StTCU
7.3%
0.2%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
7.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
7.1%
<0.1%
BYUKansasTCU
6.7%
0.5%
ArizonaBYUIowa St
6.7%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUCF
6.5%
0.2%
KansasOklahoma StUtah
6.4%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StKansas
5.7%
0.2%
BaylorTCUUtah
5.5%
0.4%
BYUBaylorUtah
5.3%
0.1%
Iowa StTCUUCF
5.2%
0.1%
BYUTCUUtah
5.2%
0.6%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
5.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCU
4.9%
0.4%
BaylorIowa StUtah
4.7%
0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtah
3.8%
0.4%
BYUIowa StTCU
3.5%
0.3%
BYUBaylorTCU
3.3%
0.2%
BYUIowa StUCF
2.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com