NebraskaCornhuskers

3-0 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCincinnatiCIN(N)	W20-17
2	9/06	vsAkronAKR	W68-0
3	9/13	vsHouston ChristianHCU	W59-7
4	9/20	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:52%
6	10/04	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:88%
7	10/11	@MarylandMD	Win prob:66%
8	10/17	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:52%
9	10/25	vsNorthwesternNU	Win prob:89%
10	11/01	vsUSCUSC	Win prob:31%
11	11/08	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:80%
13	11/22	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:7%
14	11/28	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:60%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.1%	99.3%
8-1	2.8%	59.9%
7-2	12.9%	5.1%
6-3	26.9%	0%
5-4	30.2%	0%
4-5	18.9%	0%
3-6	6.6%	0%
2-7	1.4%	0%
1-8	0.1%	0%
0-9	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

49.2%

20.7%

18.2%

7.0%

5.0%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@IndianaIU	2.5% (+0.1%)	2.4% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@Washington StateWSU	2.5% (+0.1%)	2.4% (-0.1%)
Oregon StateORST@OregonORE	3.0% (+0.6%)	2.5% (-0.0%)
IowaIOWA@RutgersRUTG	2.5% (+0.1%)	2.4% (-0.1%)
MarylandMD@WisconsinWIS	2.8% (+0.3%)	2.3% (-0.1%)
MichiganMICH@NebraskaNEB	0.5% (-1.9%)	4.3% (+1.8%)
Michigan StateMSU@USCUSC	2.7% (+0.3%)	2.5% (-0.0%)
PurduePUR@Notre DameND	2.7% (+0.2%)	2.5% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Illinois

Washington State

Oregon State

Maryland

Michigan State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Nebraska

CCG: 4.3% • Scenario: 51.7%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.3%

0.1%

Any 1 loss

59.8%

2.8%

90.5%

<0.1%

87.5%

<0.1%

85.3%

<0.1%

81.7%

0.1%

81.1%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

79.4%

0.1%

65.0%

0.4%

53.0%

1.9%

Any 2 losses

5.0%

12.8%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.7%

<0.1%

22.4%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.8%

0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.7%

<0.1%

14.1%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.5%

0.2%

9.8%

<0.1%

9.4%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

8.5%

0.3%

6.6%

0.3%

6.6%

0.9%

6.5%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.1%

0.3%

6.1%

1.8%

5.0%

0.2%

4.5%

1.7%

4.2%

0.5%

3.8%

1.2%

2.8%

0.2%

2.4%

4.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com