Houston

HoustonCougars

3-0 T1st (1-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HoustonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsStephen F. AustinSFA
W27-0
29/06
@RiceRICE
W35-9
39/12
vsColoradoCOLO
W36-20
59/26
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:53%
610/04
vsTexas TechTTU
Win prob:31%
710/11
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:74%
810/18
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:56%
910/25
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:15%
1011/01
vsWest VirginiaWVU
Win prob:54%
1111/07
@UCFUCF
Win prob:28%
1311/22
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:22%
1411/29
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:24%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.3%
98.3%
7-2
2.3%
67.3%
6-3
9.6%
5.7%
5-4
22.4%
0%
4-5
31.3%
0%
3-6
23.6%
0%
2-7
9.1%
0%
1-8
1.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Houston CCG Opponents

if Houston makes the CCG

TCUTCU
27.0%
Arizona StateArizona St
23.3%
Iowa StateIowa St
18.9%
BYUBYU
17.0%
KansasKansas
13.8%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonThis Week's Impact

Game
HoustonCCG OddsAway
HoustonCCG OddsHome
North CarolinaUNC@UCFUCF
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.5%
(+0.1%)
West VirginiaWVU@KansasKU
2.8%
(+0.3%)		2.3%
(-0.1%)
TulsaTLSA@Oklahoma StOKST
2.4%
(-0.0%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
SMUSMU@TCUTCU
2.4%
(-0.1%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
Texas TechTTU@UtahUTAH
2.4%
(+0.0%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@East CarolinaECU
2.4%
(+0.0%)		2.4%
(-0.0%)
Arizona StASU@BaylorBAY
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.5%
(+0.1%)
WyomingWYO@ColoradoCOLO
2.4%
(-0.1%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Houston

North CarolinaNorth CarolinaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaOklahoma StOklahoma StateSMUSMUTexas TechTexas TechEast CarolinaEast CarolinaArizona StArizona StateWyomingWyoming

CCG: 9.5% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Houston

West VirginiaWest Virginia

CCG: 2.8% • Scenario: 24.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Houston CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
98.4%
0.2%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
West Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona St
97.4%
<0.1%
Baylor
95.8%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
95.5%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
71.7%
1.3%
BaylorOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas Tech
93.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StWest Virginia
85.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona St
85.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StWest Virginia
84.6%
<0.1%
BaylorWest Virginia
84.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
83.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma St
82.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
77.8%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
76.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas Tech
73.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylor
73.3%
0.2%
Arizona StUCF
72.4%
0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
69.2%
<0.1%
TCUUCF
68.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
68.4%
<0.1%
Texas TechUCF
68.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorTCU
65.4%
0.1%
UCFWest Virginia
64.7%
<0.1%
TCUWest Virginia
63.2%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
62.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas Tech
62.5%
0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCU
53.6%
0.1%
Any 3 losses
16.8%
6.2%
ArizonaOregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StUCF
87.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCU
86.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
83.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StWest Virginia
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon St
77.8%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon St
77.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StWest Virginia
77.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StUCFWest Virginia
75.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
73.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StUCF
72.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas Tech
69.6%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCF
69.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon St
69.3%
0.1%
Oregon StTCUUCF
68.6%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas Tech
67.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon St
65.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTexas Tech
63.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechUCF
63.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon St
62.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCU
60.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCU
52.8%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas Tech
52.3%
0.1%
Oregon StTCUWest Virginia
52.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCU
47.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
21.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUCF
18.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCF
17.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
17.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorWest Virginia
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
14.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StTexas Tech
13.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechWest Virginia
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUCF
12.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
11.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
11.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUCF
10.2%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOklahoma St
9.8%
<0.1%
Texas TechUCFWest Virginia
9.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StWest Virginia
9.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFWest Virginia
9.2%
0.1%
BaylorTexas TechWest Virginia
8.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTexas Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas TechUCF
8.0%
0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylor
7.9%
0.1%
BaylorUCFWest Virginia
7.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StTexas Tech
7.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
6.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUUCF
6.6%
0.4%
ArizonaArizona StTCU
6.4%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUCF
6.1%
0.4%
BaylorOklahoma StTexas Tech
6.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StTCU
6.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
5.8%
0.2%
Arizona StTexas TechUCF
5.7%
0.3%
TCUTexas TechWest Virginia
5.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUWest Virginia
4.7%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorTexas Tech
4.7%
0.4%
ArizonaArizona StUCF
4.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechWest Virginia
4.1%
0.1%
ArizonaTCUWest Virginia
4.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorWest Virginia
4.0%
0.1%
BaylorTCUTexas Tech
3.7%
0.2%
ArizonaTCUTexas Tech
3.5%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUCF
3.4%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorTCU
3.2%
0.5%
TCUUCFWest Virginia
2.9%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUWest Virginia
2.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUTexas Tech
1.9%
0.4%
Any 4 losses
5.5%
4.4%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
19.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOklahoma StOregon St
16.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas TechUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StTCU
14.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StWest Virginia
13.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StUCF
13.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StWest Virginia
12.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOklahoma StOregon St
12.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StTCU
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StTexas Tech
10.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCFWest Virginia
8.9%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCUUCF
8.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUWest Virginia
8.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylorOregon St
8.4%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StWest Virginia
8.3%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
8.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StUCF
8.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StTCU
7.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
7.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StUCF
7.0%
0.4%
ArizonaOregon StTCUWest Virginia
6.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
6.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUUCF
6.3%
0.2%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StUCF
6.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas TechUCF
6.0%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
5.9%
0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechUCFWest Virginia
5.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTexas Tech
5.9%
0.3%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StUCF
5.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas TechUCF
5.5%
0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StTexas Tech
4.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas TechWest Virginia
4.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCUUCF
3.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTexas TechUCF
3.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTCU
3.5%
0.4%
Oregon StTCUUCFWest Virginia
3.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCUUCF
2.9%
0.4%
Arizona StOregon StTexas TechUCF
2.8%
0.3%
Arizona StOregon StTCUWest Virginia
2.7%
0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StTCU
2.4%
0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCUTexas Tech
2.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUTexas Tech
2.3%
0.2%
Arizona StOregon StTCUTexas Tech
1.7%
0.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com