Houston

HoustonCougars

3-0 T1st (1-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HoustonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsStephen F. AustinSFA
W27-0
29/06
@RiceRICE
W35-9
39/12
vsColoradoCOLO
W36-20
59/26
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:68%
610/04
vsTexas TechTTU
Win prob:31%
710/11
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:80%
810/18
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:62%
910/25
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:16%
1011/01
vsWest VirginiaWVU
Win prob:60%
1111/07
@UCFUCF
Win prob:35%
1311/22
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:27%
1411/29
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:31%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.7%
98.5%
7-2
4.4%
61.6%
6-3
14.3%
4.5%
5-4
27.5%
0%
4-5
29.3%
0%
3-6
17.9%
0%
2-7
5.3%
0%
1-8
0.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Houston CCG Opponents

if Houston makes the CCG

Arizona StateArizona St
33.4%
Texas TechTexas Tech
23.8%
TCUTCU
20.3%
KansasKansas
11.6%
BYUBYU
10.9%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonThis Week's Impact

Game
HoustonCCG OddsAway
HoustonCCG OddsHome
BYUBYU@ColoradoCOLO
3.7%
(-0.4%)		4.5%
(+0.4%)
CincinnatiCIN@KansasKU
4.3%
(+0.3%)		4.0%
(-0.1%)
TCUTCU@Arizona StASU
4.2%
(+0.1%)		4.0%
(-0.1%)
BaylorBAY@Oklahoma StOKST
4.0%
(-0.0%)		4.3%
(+0.2%)
HoustonHOU@Oregon StORST
4.1%
(+0.0%)		4.1%
(-0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Iowa StISU
4.4%
(+0.3%)		4.0%
(-0.1%)
UCFUCF@Kansas StKSU
4.3%
(+0.2%)		4.0%
(-0.1%)
UtahUTAH@West VirginiaWVU
3.9%
(-0.2%)		4.5%
(+0.4%)

Best Winner Combination for Houston

ColoradoColoradoCincinnatiCincinnatiTCUTCUOklahoma StOklahoma StateOregon StOregon StateArizonaArizonaUCFUCFWest VirginiaWest Virginia

CCG: 16.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Houston

ColoradoColorado

CCG: 4.5% • Scenario: 49.0%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Houston CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
98.9%
0.5%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
West Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona St
98.7%
0.1%
Baylor
98.5%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
97.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
64.5%
3.2%
Oklahoma StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon St
96.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas Tech
95.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCU
94.6%
<0.1%
BaylorWest Virginia
94.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
87.5%
<0.1%
UCFWest Virginia
85.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
82.7%
0.1%
ArizonaWest Virginia
81.8%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
80.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
79.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma St
75.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
TCUWest Virginia
74.1%
<0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
73.7%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas Tech
72.7%
0.1%
ArizonaArizona St
72.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylor
72.1%
0.3%
BaylorTCU
70.5%
0.2%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
70.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StWest Virginia
68.8%
0.1%
Arizona StUCF
66.8%
0.3%
TCUUCF
65.9%
0.2%
ArizonaTCU
65.4%
<0.1%
Texas TechUCF
60.2%
0.1%
ArizonaTexas Tech
57.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCU
47.0%
0.4%
TCUTexas Tech
45.4%
0.2%
BaylorOklahoma St
37.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas Tech
35.8%
0.4%
Any 3 losses
12.5%
10.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon St
91.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StWest Virginia
90.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StWest Virginia
86.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon St
84.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StUCF
81.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon St
80.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUCFWest Virginia
79.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCU
77.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
74.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StUCF
72.2%
0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCU
68.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon St
68.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StWest Virginia
67.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUUCF
67.6%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCF
67.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon St
66.7%
0.2%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
63.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechUCF
63.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCU
61.9%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas Tech
60.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUWest Virginia
60.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCU
50.3%
0.2%
ArizonaOregon StTexas Tech
42.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas Tech
42.1%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas Tech
38.1%
0.2%
Oklahoma StUCFWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorWest Virginia
17.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StWest Virginia
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFWest Virginia
15.8%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
11.9%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
11.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
10.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCF
10.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StWest Virginia
10.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StWest Virginia
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTexas Tech
9.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
9.4%
0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUCF
9.1%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFWest Virginia
8.5%
<0.1%
Texas TechUCFWest Virginia
8.3%
0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
8.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechWest Virginia
7.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUWest Virginia
7.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorWest Virginia
7.2%
0.2%
ArizonaTexas TechWest Virginia
7.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOklahoma St
7.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUCF
6.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUTexas Tech
6.7%
0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StTCU
6.6%
0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
6.5%
0.3%
ArizonaTexas TechUCF
5.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUCF
5.3%
0.6%
Arizona StBaylorTexas Tech
5.0%
0.7%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas Tech
5.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma St
5.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
5.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas TechWest Virginia
4.9%
0.1%
Arizona StUCFWest Virginia
4.8%
0.2%
ArizonaArizona StBaylor
4.8%
0.2%
BaylorTexas TechUCF
4.7%
0.3%
TCUTexas TechWest Virginia
4.3%
0.1%
Arizona StTCUUCF
4.3%
0.8%
ArizonaArizona StUCF
4.3%
0.2%
Arizona StOklahoma StTexas Tech
3.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechWest Virginia
3.7%
0.2%
Arizona StBaylorTCU
3.6%
0.9%
TCUTexas TechUCF
3.3%
0.3%
ArizonaArizona StTCU
3.3%
0.2%
BaylorTCUTexas Tech
3.1%
0.4%
ArizonaTCUWest Virginia
3.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUWest Virginia
2.7%
0.3%
BaylorTCUWest Virginia
2.5%
0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTexas Tech
2.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechUCF
2.1%
0.6%
ArizonaArizona StTexas Tech
1.9%
0.2%
TCUUCFWest Virginia
1.8%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
5.0%
4.4%
ArizonaOregon StTCUWest Virginia
27.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StUCFWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StTCU
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StOregon StUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StUCF
13.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StUCF
11.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StTCU
11.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StUCF
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUWest Virginia
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma StOregon St
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StWest Virginia
10.8%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
10.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCFWest Virginia
9.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOklahoma StOregon St
9.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
9.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StWest Virginia
8.8%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StUCF
8.6%
0.3%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StWest Virginia
8.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylorOregon St
7.8%
0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUUCF
7.7%
0.2%
ArizonaOregon StTexas TechUCF
6.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StTCU
6.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas TechUCF
5.8%
0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StTexas Tech
5.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCUTexas Tech
5.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon StTexas Tech
5.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCUUCF
4.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUUCFWest Virginia
4.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTexas TechUCF
4.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTCU
4.0%
0.4%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StTCU
4.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas TechUCF
3.7%
0.2%
Arizona StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
3.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCUWest Virginia
3.5%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTexas Tech
3.5%
0.3%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StTCU
3.4%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas TechUCF
3.0%
0.3%
Oregon StTexas TechUCFWest Virginia
2.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StTCUUCF
2.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUTexas Tech
2.3%
0.2%
Arizona StOregon StTCUUCF
2.1%
0.4%
Oregon StTCUTexas TechWest Virginia
2.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StTexas Tech
1.9%
0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCUTexas Tech
1.1%
0.4%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com