ArkansasRazorbacks

2-2 T7th (0-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsAlabama A&MAAMU	W52-7
2	9/06	vsArkansas StateARST(N)	W56-14
3	9/13	@Ole MissMISS	L35-41
4	9/20	@MemphisMEM	L31-32
5	9/27	vsNotre DameND	Win prob:9%
7	10/11	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:26%
8	10/18	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:48%
9	10/25	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:57%
10	11/01	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:83%
12	11/15	@LSULSU	Win prob:33%
13	11/22	@TexasTEX	Win prob:19%
14	11/29	vsMissouriMIZ	Win prob:47%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.2%	79.1%
6-2	2.1%	18.2%
5-3	10.1%	0.2%
4-4	24.6%	0%
3-5	32.3%	0%
2-6	22.6%	0%
1-7	7.4%	0%
0-8	0.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

51.9%

28.8%

11.5%

5.8%

1.9%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Utah StateUSU@VanderbiltVAN	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
Notre DameND@ArkansasARK	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.1%)
AlabamaALA@GeorgiaUGA	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
MassachusettsMASS@MissouriMIZ	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@South CarolinaSC	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
LSULSU@Ole MissMISS	0.8% (+0.2%)	0.5% (-0.1%)
AuburnAUB@Texas A&MTA&M	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@Mississippi StateMSST	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Utah State

Georgia

Massachusetts

Kentucky

LSU

Auburn

CCG: 16.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

LSU

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 21.2%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

76.9%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

44.3%

0.3%

79.3%

0.1%

38.1%

<0.1%

15.9%

<0.1%

13.3%

<0.1%

13.3%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.7%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

16.7%

2.1%

26.9%

0.2%

22.7%

0.1%

18.9%

0.4%

18.1%

0.4%

16.1%

0.7%

15.7%

0.1%

12.9%

<0.1%

1.1%

<0.1%

0.8%

0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com