SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	95.9%	28.2%	0.2%	74.1%
Ole MissMISS	99.8%	67.5%	10.4%	0.1%	38.6%
AlabamaALA	100%	90.0%	28.5%	0.6%	36.9%
TexasTEX	99.9%	70.3%	9.7%	<0.1%	22.9%
MissouriMIZ	99.9%	58.1%	6.5%	<0.1%	7.0%
LSULSU	100%	77.0%	15.3%	0.1%	4.7%
TennesseeTENN	-	75.3%	8.6%	<0.1%	4.7%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	54.5%	5.5%	<0.1%	4.6%
OklahomaOU	100%	91.0%	35.1%	0.2%	4.1%
VanderbiltVAN	100%	81.2%	15.4%	<0.1%	1.3%
ArkansasARK	-	79.1%	18.2%	0.2%	0.5%
AuburnAUB	-	97.1%	20.2%	<0.1%	0.4%
FloridaFLA	-	86.7%	36.3%	0.2%	0.2%
South CarolinaSC	-	-	39.8%	0.2%	<0.1%
KentuckyUK	-	100%	24.5%	0.2%	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	80.0%	3.1%	<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(1-0)	28.5%	40.8%	23.0%	6.6%	1.0%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	6.9
Ole MissMISS(2-0)	9.4%	37.9%	35.8%	14.0%	2.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	-	-	6.4
AlabamaALA(0-0)	5.5%	23.9%	34.0%	24.0%	9.8%	2.4%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.8
TexasTEX(0-0)	4.0%	22.1%	34.3%	25.7%	10.8%	2.6%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.7
MissouriMIZ(1-0)	1.2%	7.6%	21.2%	31.0%	24.9%	11.5%	2.4%	0.2%	-	4.8
TennesseeTENN(0-1)	-	3.9%	20.5%	33.7%	26.9%	11.7%	3.0%	0.4%	<0.1%	4.7
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.6%	5.5%	17.6%	29.2%	27.1%	14.8%	4.4%	0.7%	<0.1%	4.6
LSULSU(1-0)	0.3%	3.0%	13.7%	28.0%	30.5%	18.4%	5.5%	0.7%	-	4.3
OklahomaOU(1-0)	0.1%	1.4%	7.6%	20.4%	31.0%	25.8%	11.6%	2.1%	-	3.8
VanderbiltVAN(1-0)	<0.1%	0.7%	4.7%	17.0%	31.4%	29.7%	14.0%	2.5%	-	3.6
ArkansasARK(0-1)	-	0.2%	2.1%	10.1%	24.6%	32.3%	22.6%	7.4%	0.8%	3.1
AuburnAUB(0-1)	-	0.1%	1.3%	7.0%	20.5%	31.4%	26.8%	11.1%	1.8%	2.8
FloridaFLA(0-1)	-	<0.1%	0.4%	3.6%	14.9%	31.3%	32.6%	15.1%	2.1%	2.5
South CarolinaSC(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	1.1%	7.3%	23.3%	36.4%	25.8%	6.0%	2.0
KentuckyUK(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.9%	5.4%	17.5%	32.6%	31.5%	12.1%	1.8
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	0.8%	5.1%	19.2%	39.4%	35.3%	1.0

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com