Mississippi

Ole MissRebels

4-0 T1st (2-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

38.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MississippiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsGeorgia StGAST
W63-7
29/06
@KentuckyUK
W30-23
39/13
vsArkansasARK
W41-35
49/20
vsTulaneTULN
W45-10
59/27
vsLSULSU
Win prob:79%
710/11
vsWashington StWSU
Win prob:97%
810/18
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:26%
910/25
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:67%
1011/01
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:87%
1111/08
vsThe CitadelCIT
Win prob:90%
1211/15
vsFloridaFLA
Win prob:86%
1411/28
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:91%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
9.4%
99.8%
7-1
37.9%
67.5%
6-2
35.8%
10.4%
5-3
14.0%
0.1%
4-4
2.7%
0%
3-5
0.2%
0%
2-6
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mississippi CCG Opponents

if Mississippi makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
63.2%
AlabamaAlabama
19.2%
TexasTexas
11.7%
MissouriMissouri
3.4%
Texas A&MTexas A&M
2.4%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiThis Week's Impact

Game
MississippiCCG OddsAway
MississippiCCG OddsHome
Utah StUSU@VanderbiltVAN
39.1%
(+0.4%)		38.6%
(-0.1%)
Notre DameND@ArkansasARK
38.7%
(+0.0%)		38.2%
(-0.4%)
AlabamaALA@GeorgiaUGA
35.4%
(-3.3%)		40.0%
(+1.4%)
MassachusettsMASS@MissouriMIZ
38.1%
(-0.5%)		38.6%
(+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@South CarolinaSC
38.3%
(-0.3%)		38.8%
(+0.1%)
LSULSU@MississippiMISS
16.2%
(-22.5%)		44.7%
(+6.1%)
AuburnAUB@Texas A&MTA&M
39.5%
(+0.9%)		38.2%
(-0.5%)
TennesseeTENN@Mississippi StMSST
38.4%
(-0.3%)		40.1%
(+1.4%)

Best Winner Combination for Mississippi

ArkansasArkansasAlabamaAlabamaMassachusettsMassachusettsKentuckyKentuckyMississippi StMississippi State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Mississippi

MississippiOle Miss

CCG: 44.7% • Scenario: 78.8%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Mississippi CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
99.8%
8.2%
Any 1 loss
68.6%
34.2%
Washington St
99.7%
0.3%
The Citadel
99.5%
0.9%
South Carolina
89.9%
1.2%
LSU
87.8%
2.3%
Oklahoma
87.6%
4.2%
Florida
87.2%
1.3%
Mississippi St
83.3%
0.8%
Georgia
59.0%
23.3%
Any 2 losses
18.1%
35.9%
The CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StWashington St
93.3%
<0.1%
LSUWashington St
91.7%
<0.1%
FloridaWashington St
90.2%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe Citadel
90.2%
0.2%
OklahomaThe Citadel
89.2%
0.4%
LSUThe Citadel
87.1%
0.3%
OklahomaWashington St
86.3%
0.1%
Mississippi StThe Citadel
86.3%
<0.1%
FloridaThe Citadel
81.4%
0.1%
South CarolinaWashington St
81.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe Citadel
60.0%
2.5%
GeorgiaWashington St
58.2%
0.8%
Mississippi StSouth Carolina
33.3%
0.1%
FloridaSouth Carolina
30.3%
0.2%
Mississippi StOklahoma
22.9%
0.4%
LSUSouth Carolina
22.7%
0.3%
FloridaMississippi St
22.4%
0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
20.9%
0.7%
FloridaLSU
20.4%
0.4%
FloridaOklahoma
19.4%
0.7%
LSUMississippi St
18.0%
0.2%
LSUOklahoma
13.8%
1.1%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
13.2%
3.7%
GeorgiaMississippi St
11.3%
2.1%
FloridaGeorgia
11.0%
3.6%
GeorgiaLSU
10.2%
6.2%
GeorgiaOklahoma
6.2%
11.4%
Any 3 losses
10.9%
4.7%
South CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
92.9%
<0.1%
LSUThe CitadelWashington St
85.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
60.7%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUWashington St
36.4%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaWashington St
31.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
30.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUThe Citadel
29.4%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StThe Citadel
23.5%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWashington St
22.2%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaThe Citadel
20.6%
0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
18.9%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
18.2%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StThe Citadel
17.6%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaWashington St
17.5%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaThe Citadel
16.7%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaWashington St
15.4%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaThe Citadel
12.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaWashington St
12.5%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUWashington St
11.7%
0.2%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
11.3%
0.4%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe Citadel
11.0%
0.2%
GeorgiaMississippi StWashington St
10.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
10.5%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaThe Citadel
9.8%
0.4%
FloridaOklahomaWashington St
9.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe Citadel
8.3%
0.7%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWashington St
6.7%
0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe Citadel
6.0%
1.3%
GeorgiaOklahomaWashington St
5.3%
0.4%
Any 4 losses
4.4%
0.3%
FloridaOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
46.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe CitadelWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSouth CarolinaWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
6.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMississippi StWashington St
5.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOklahomaThe Citadel
0.5%
0.2%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com