KentuckyWildcats

2-1 T7th (0-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsToledoTOL	W24-16
2	9/06	vsOle MissMISS	L23-30
3	9/13	vsEastern MichiganEMU	W48-23
5	9/27	@South CarolinaSC	Win prob:31%
6	10/04	@GeorgiaUGA	Win prob:4%
8	10/18	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:18%
9	10/25	vsTennesseeTENN	Win prob:24%
10	11/01	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:26%
11	11/08	vsFloridaFLA	Win prob:44%
12	11/15	vsTennessee TechTNTC	Win prob:90%
13	11/22	@VanderbiltVAN	Win prob:29%
14	11/29	@LouisvilleLOU	Win prob:22%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0%	100.0%
6-2	0.1%	24.5%
5-3	0.9%	0.2%
4-4	5.4%	0%
3-5	17.5%	0%
2-6	32.6%	0%
1-7	31.5%	0%
0-8	12.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.0%

50.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Utah StateUSU@VanderbiltVAN	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Notre DameND@ArkansasARK	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
AlabamaALA@GeorgiaUGA	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
MassachusettsMASS@MissouriMIZ	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@South CarolinaSC	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
LSULSU@Ole MissMISS	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
AuburnAUB@Texas A&MTA&M	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@Mississippi StateMSST	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

Arkansas

Georgia

Missouri

Kentucky

Ole Miss

Auburn

Tennessee

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.4%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Missouri

Kentucky

Tennessee

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 25.6%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

11.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

18.3%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

20.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com