ArizonaWildcats

4-1 T8th (1-1) in B12

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsHawai'iHAW	W40-6
2	9/06	vsWeber StateWEB	W48-3
3	9/12	vsKansas StateKSU	W23-17
5	9/27	@Iowa StateISU	L14-39
6	10/04	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W41-13
7	10/11	vsBYUBYU	Win prob:22%
8	10/18	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:33%
10	11/01	@ColoradoCOLO	Win prob:19%
11	11/08	vsKansasKU	Win prob:25%
12	11/15	@CincinnatiCIN	Win prob:29%
13	11/22	vsBaylorBAY	Win prob:34%
14	11/28	@Arizona StateASU	Win prob:11%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.0%	100.0%
7-2	0.1%	62.1%
6-3	1.0%	3.6%
5-4	5.5%	0%
4-5	17.2%	0%
3-6	31.7%	0%
2-7	31.5%	0%
1-8	13.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.0%

30.0%

10.0%

10.0%

10.0%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Iowa StateISU@ColoradoCOLO	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Arizona StateASU@UtahUTAH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
KansasKU@Texas TechTTU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
UCFUCF@CincinnatiCIN	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
HoustonHOU@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
BYUBYU@ArizonaARIZ	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.4% (+0.3%)
TCUTCU@Kansas StateKSU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Colorado

Utah

Kansas

Cincinnati

Oklahoma State

Arizona

Kansas State

CCG: 1.6% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Arizona

CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 21.4%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

63.5%

0.1%

82.3%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

70.6%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

61.5%

<0.1%

45.2%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

4.2%

0.9%

19.1%

<0.1%

15.6%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

10.5%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

5.2%

<0.1%

4.9%

<0.1%

4.0%

<0.1%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.2%

<0.1%

3.2%

<0.1%

3.0%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

1.8%

0.1%

1.8%

<0.1%

1.7%

<0.1%

1.5%

0.1%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com