UtahUtes

4-1 T8th (1-1) in B12

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

10.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@UCLAUCLA	W43-10
2	9/06	vsCal PolyCP	W63-9
3	9/13	@WyomingWYO	W31-6
4	9/20	vsTexas TechTTU	L10-34
5	9/27	@West VirginiaWVU	W48-14
7	10/11	vsArizona StateASU	Win prob:52%
8	10/18	@BYUBYU	Win prob:39%
9	10/25	vsColoradoCOLO	Win prob:66%
10	11/01	vsCincinnatiCIN	Win prob:78%
12	11/15	@BaylorBAY	Win prob:55%
13	11/22	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:60%
14	11/28	@KansasKU	Win prob:44%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	1.5%	99.2%
7-2	9.3%	68.3%
6-3	22.7%	9.9%
5-4	30.2%	0%
4-5	23.5%	0%
3-6	10.2%	0%
2-7	2.4%	0%
1-8	0.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

46.8%

26.2%

14.1%

8.4%

4.5%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Iowa StateISU@ColoradoCOLO	9.2% (-0.9%)	10.8% (+0.8%)
Arizona StateASU@UtahUTAH	2.5% (-7.5%)	17.1% (+7.1%)
KansasKU@Texas TechTTU	11.4% (+1.4%)	9.4% (-0.6%)
UCFUCF@CincinnatiCIN	10.1% (+0.1%)	10.0% (-0.1%)
HoustonHOU@Oklahoma StateOKST	10.0% (-0.1%)	10.3% (+0.2%)
BYUBYU@ArizonaARIZ	9.8% (-0.3%)	11.0% (+1.0%)
TCUTCU@Kansas StateKSU	9.0% (-1.1%)	11.2% (+1.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Colorado

Utah

Kansas

Cincinnati

Oklahoma State

Arizona

TCU

CCG: 26.5% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Utah

CCG: 17.1% • Scenario: 51.4%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.2%

1.5%

Any 1 loss

68.3%

9.3%

81.4%

0.8%

79.9%

1.0%

79.9%

1.2%

77.6%

0.4%

72.8%

2.0%

60.2%

2.4%

48.5%

1.5%

Any 2 losses

9.9%

22.7%

17.2%

0.8%

17.2%

0.5%

13.9%

0.3%

13.7%

0.2%

13.6%

1.0%

13.2%

0.5%

13.0%

0.7%

12.7%

1.3%

12.1%

1.6%

11.3%

0.4%

10.5%

1.6%

10.1%

1.2%

9.2%

1.9%

9.0%

2.9%

8.7%

1.0%

8.5%

0.7%

8.1%

1.7%

7.5%

0.4%

7.1%

1.1%

4.9%

0.7%

4.6%

2.2%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com