IndianaHoosiers

6-0 T1st (3-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

76.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsOld DominionODU	W27-14
2	9/06	vsKennesaw StateKENN	W56-9
3	9/12	vsIndiana StateINST	W73-0
4	9/20	vsIllinoisILL	W63-10
5	9/27	@IowaIOWA	W20-15
7	10/11	@OregonORE	W30-20
8	10/18	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:98%
9	10/25	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:98%
10	11/01	@MarylandMD	Win prob:89%
11	11/08	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:38%
12	11/15	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:95%
14	11/28	@PurduePUR	Win prob:97%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	30.5%	100.0%
8-1	56.2%	78.5%
7-2	12.3%	11.4%
6-3	1.0%	0.1%
5-4	0.0%	0%
4-5	0%	0%
3-6	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

72.1%

19.9%

5.3%

2.2%

0.4%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Penn StatePSU@IowaIOWA	76.0% (-0.1%)	76.3% (+0.3%)
Ohio StateOSU@WisconsinWIS	76.0% (-0.0%)	76.4% (+0.3%)
MarylandMD@UCLAUCLA	76.1% (+0.1%)	75.9% (-0.2%)
Michigan StateMSU@IndianaIU	33.7% (-42.4%)	77.1% (+1.1%)
OregonORE@RutgersRUTG	75.2% (-0.9%)	84.0% (+8.0%)
USCUSC@Notre DameND	75.1% (-0.9%)	76.1% (+0.1%)
NebraskaNEB@MinnesotaMINN	76.0% (-0.0%)	76.1% (+0.1%)
WashingtonWASH@MichiganMICH	79.2% (+3.2%)	75.2% (-0.8%)
PurduePUR@NorthwesternNU	76.5% (+0.4%)	75.9% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Iowa

Wisconsin

Michigan State

Rutgers

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Indiana

CCG: 77.1% • Scenario: 97.5%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

30.5%

Any 1 loss

78.5%

56.2%

87.0%

3.5%

85.8%

0.8%

85.6%

0.8%

82.3%

0.6%

82.1%

1.6%

77.5%

48.9%

Any 2 losses

11.4%

12.3%

18.6%

<0.1%

18.5%

<0.1%

17.6%

<0.1%

15.0%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.6%

2.5%

12.2%

0.2%

11.4%

1.2%

11.3%

0.1%

11.3%

5.8%

10.9%

<0.1%

10.3%

1.2%

9.4%

0.9%

6.3%

<0.1%

0.8%

0.1%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com