MinnesotaGolden Gophers

4-2 T4th (2-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsBuffaloBUF	W23-10
2	9/06	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W66-0
3	9/13	@CaliforniaCAL	L14-27
5	9/27	vsRutgersRUTG	W31-28
6	10/04	@Ohio StateOSU	L3-42
7	10/11	vsPurduePUR	W27-20
8	10/17	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:35%
9	10/25	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:18%
10	11/01	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:73%
12	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:4%
13	11/22	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:58%
14	11/29	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:57%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.1%	67.3%
7-2	2.0%	0.8%
6-3	13.8%	0%
5-4	33.0%	0%
4-5	33.8%	0%
3-6	15.1%	0%
2-7	2.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

80.0%

20.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Penn StatePSU@IowaIOWA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@WisconsinWIS	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.1%)
MarylandMD@UCLAUCLA	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@IndianaIU	0.2% (+0.2%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
OregonORE@RutgersRUTG	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
USCUSC@Notre DameND	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
NebraskaNEB@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.1%)
WashingtonWASH@MichiganMICH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Iowa

Wisconsin

Michigan State

Minnesota

Michigan

CCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Minnesota

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 34.9%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

67.3%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

0.8%

1.9%

3.9%

<0.1%

2.1%

<0.1%

1.0%

0.3%

0.6%

1.5%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com