Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.2%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W38-21 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W70-10 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W59-24 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L6-24 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W24-20 | |
| 7 | 10/10 | W38-19 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L7-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:72% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:75% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:93% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:76% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:20% |
Data from 2025-10-19
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| 6-3 | 38.9% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 37.4% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 13.9% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 2.1% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 0.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-19
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-19
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (+0.2%) | 0.2% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 1.1% (+0.9%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.2%) | 0.2% (+0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Wisconsin
Purdue
Michigan State
Northwestern
UCLACCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
WashingtonCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 72.3%
Data from 2025-10-19
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
2.1%
7.7%Data from 2025-10-19
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-19