UNLV

UNLVRebels

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

36.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UNLVSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@HoustonHOU
W27-7
29/07
vsUtah TechUTU
W72-14
39/13
vsKansasKU(N)
Win prob:42%
59/28
vsFresno StFRES
Win prob:60%
610/04
vsSyracuseSYR
Win prob:78%
710/11
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:81%
810/19
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:26%
910/25
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:46%
1111/09
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:81%
1211/16
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:78%
1311/22
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:40%
1411/30
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:87%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
4.8%
100.0%
6-1
20.7%
97.4%
5-2
33.3%
35.0%
4-3
26.8%
0.4%
3-4
11.5%
0%
2-5
2.6%
0%
1-6
0.3%
0%
0-7
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UNLV CCG Opponents

if UNLV makes the CCG

San José StateSan Jose St
39.5%
Boise StateBoise St
36.5%
Fresno StateFresno St
14.3%
Air ForceAir Force
7.1%
San Diego StateSan Diego St
2.6%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVThis Week's Impact

Game
UNLVCCG OddsAway
UNLVCCG OddsHome
KennesawKENN@San Jose StSJSU
36.3%
(-0.5%)		36.9%
(+0.1%)
New MexicoUNM@AuburnAUB
37.3%
(+0.5%)		36.7%
(-0.1%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
36.6%
(-0.1%)		36.9%
(+0.1%)
HawaiiHAW@Sam Houston StSHSU
36.8%
(+0.0%)		36.8%
(+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
36.9%
(+0.1%)		36.7%
(-0.1%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Fresno StFRES
36.7%
(-0.1%)		36.8%
(+0.0%)
San Diego StSDSU@CaliforniaCAL
36.9%
(+0.1%)		36.7%
(-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
36.8%
(+0.0%)		36.6%
(-0.1%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN
36.6%
(-0.2%)		36.8%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
36.7%
(-0.1%)		36.9%
(+0.1%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
36.8%
(-0.0%)		36.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UNLV CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.4%
Any 1 loss
98.9%
3.5%
Oregon St
100.0%
1.2%
Kansas
100.0%
0.6%
Syracuse
100.0%
0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego St
99.2%
0.1%
Hawaii
99.0%
0.1%
Nevada
98.3%
<0.1%
Fresno St
98.1%
0.3%
San Jose St
97.3%
0.6%
Boise St
96.9%
0.4%
Any 2 losses
84.4%
12.7%
KansasOregon St
100.0%
1.7%
KansasUtah St
100.0%
0.1%
HawaiiSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansas
100.0%
0.2%
KansasSyracuse
100.0%
0.2%
Oregon StSyracuse
100.0%
0.3%
KansasSan Diego St
100.0%
0.2%
Oregon StUtah St
100.0%
0.3%
SyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
99.7%
0.3%
HawaiiOregon St
99.6%
0.3%
NevadaOregon St
99.4%
0.1%
San Jose StSyracuse
98.6%
0.2%
Fresno StOregon St
98.6%
0.8%
KansasNevada
97.9%
<0.1%
Boise StKansas
97.2%
0.6%
Fresno StKansas
97.1%
0.4%
KansasSan Jose St
96.7%
0.8%
Oregon StSan Jose St
96.2%
1.8%
Boise StOregon St
96.1%
1.3%
Fresno StSyracuse
96.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSyracuse
94.5%
0.1%
NevadaSan Diego St
88.2%
<0.1%
NevadaUtah St
80.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevada
80.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiUtah St
69.6%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
62.2%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego St
58.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevada
55.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
54.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego St
53.6%
0.1%
San Jose StUtah St
50.9%
0.2%
NevadaSan Jose St
50.5%
0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaii
49.2%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaii
48.6%
0.1%
Boise StUtah St
43.5%
0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose St
41.5%
0.2%
HawaiiSan Jose St
41.3%
0.1%
Boise StNevada
39.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose St
29.9%
0.4%
Boise StFresno St
21.1%
0.3%
Boise StSan Jose St
19.1%
0.7%
Any 3 losses
61.6%
22.6%
Oregon StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
0.5%
KansasNevadaSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StUtah St
99.7%
0.4%
KansasOregon StSan Diego St
99.6%
0.5%
KansasNevadaOregon St
99.6%
0.2%
HawaiiKansasOregon St
99.5%
0.4%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuse
98.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSyracuse
98.2%
0.2%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
97.9%
0.1%
Fresno StKansasOregon St
97.6%
1.1%
Fresno StKansasSyracuse
97.5%
0.1%
Boise StKansasOregon St
97.2%
1.9%
Boise StOregon StSyracuse
96.9%
0.4%
KansasSan Jose StSyracuse
96.8%
0.3%
Boise StKansasSyracuse
96.5%
0.2%
KansasOregon StSan Jose St
96.3%
2.5%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
96.1%
0.5%
HawaiiSan Diego StSyracuse
85.7%
<0.1%
NevadaSyracuseUtah St
85.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StSyracuseUtah St
83.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaSyracuse
80.0%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaSan Diego St
77.3%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaUtah St
76.5%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasSan Diego St
73.2%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon St
73.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StUtah St
71.4%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasNevada
71.4%
<0.1%
HawaiiSyracuseUtah St
71.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StUtah St
70.4%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego St
69.4%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
San Jose StSyracuseUtah St
64.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasUtah St
64.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego St
62.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaSyracuse
60.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasUtah St
59.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasNevada
58.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon St
57.1%
0.2%
Boise StNevadaSyracuse
57.1%
<0.1%
Boise StKansasUtah St
55.2%
0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon St
54.7%
0.3%
Fresno StHawaiiKansas
54.0%
0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StUtah St
52.4%
0.4%
Fresno StSyracuseUtah St
52.0%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiSyracuse
51.7%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiKansas
51.4%
0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon St
50.5%
0.2%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose St
50.2%
0.2%
Boise StKansasNevada
50.0%
0.1%
Boise StSyracuseUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasSan Jose StUtah St
49.0%
0.2%
Fresno StNevadaOregon St
48.5%
0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose St
48.0%
0.4%
HawaiiKansasSan Jose St
47.9%
0.2%
HawaiiSan Jose StSyracuse
47.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUtah St
47.2%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StUtah St
47.1%
0.3%
KansasSan Diego StUtah St
45.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiSyracuse
45.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
43.2%
<0.1%
Boise StKansasSan Diego St
42.9%
0.2%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
42.2%
0.5%
KansasNevadaSan Jose St
42.1%
0.1%
Fresno StKansasSan Diego St
42.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego St
40.9%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego St
39.0%
0.4%
Boise StSan Diego StSyracuse
38.7%
<0.1%
KansasSan Diego StSan Jose St
37.5%
0.3%
NevadaSan Jose StSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StSyracuse
30.4%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StKansas
28.2%
0.4%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose St
27.1%
1.2%
Fresno StKansasSan Jose St
24.0%
0.5%
Fresno StSan Jose StSyracuse
23.8%
0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon St
23.3%
0.9%
Boise StSan Jose StSyracuse
21.1%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose St
20.2%
2.1%
Boise StKansasSan Jose St
20.0%
1.0%
Boise StFresno StSyracuse
19.8%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiUtah St
4.5%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StSan Jose St
3.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUtah St
1.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StUtah St
1.0%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
36.8%
19.1%
KansasOregon StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
0.1%
HawaiiKansasOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
0.1%
HawaiiKansasSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasNevadaSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
98.5%
0.1%
KansasNevadaOregon StSyracuse
98.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasOregon StSyracuse
98.0%
0.3%
Boise StKansasOregon StSyracuse
96.7%
0.5%
KansasOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
94.4%
0.8%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSyracuse
81.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasSyracuseUtah St
81.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasNevadaOregon St
80.7%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaOregon StUtah St
80.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasOregon StUtah St
77.0%
0.1%
KansasSan Diego StSyracuseUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuseUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaOregon StSan Diego St
72.9%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
69.4%
0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon StSyracuse
65.3%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuseUtah St
63.6%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaSan Diego StSyracuse
62.5%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasOregon StSan Diego St
62.4%
0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
59.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuseUtah St
58.8%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaSan Jose StSyracuse
58.8%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
58.3%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiKansasSyracuse
57.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiKansasSyracuse
54.8%
<0.1%
KansasSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
52.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiKansasOregon St
51.9%
0.3%
Fresno StKansasOregon StUtah St
51.7%
0.3%
Boise StKansasOregon StUtah St
51.7%
0.5%
Boise StOregon StSyracuseUtah St
50.5%
0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasSan Diego StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSyracuseUtah St
49.1%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiKansasOregon St
48.6%
0.4%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
47.4%
0.1%
Boise StKansasSan Diego StSyracuse
46.9%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasOregon StSan Jose St
46.8%
0.5%
Boise StKansasNevadaSyracuse
46.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasNevadaOregon St
46.4%
0.2%
Boise StKansasNevadaOregon St
46.1%
0.3%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
45.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasSan Jose StSyracuse
45.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasNevadaSyracuse
45.5%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
44.3%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StSan Jose StUtah St
44.2%
0.6%
KansasNevadaOregon StSan Jose St
43.8%
0.3%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StSyracuse
43.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
42.8%
0.2%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
42.4%
0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSyracuse
42.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasOregon StSan Diego St
42.0%
0.3%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
40.7%
0.1%
KansasSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
40.0%
<0.1%
Boise StKansasSyracuseUtah St
40.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasSyracuseUtah St
38.9%
<0.1%
KansasOregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
37.9%
0.7%
Boise StKansasOregon StSan Diego St
37.2%
0.5%
KansasNevadaSyracuseUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StKansasSyracuse
26.5%
0.1%
HawaiiKansasNevadaSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
24.8%
0.3%
Fresno StKansasOregon StSan Jose St
24.3%
1.6%
Boise StFresno StKansasOregon St
23.7%
1.3%
Boise StFresno StOregon StSyracuse
23.1%
0.3%
Fresno StKansasSan Jose StSyracuse
21.7%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
21.1%
0.6%
Boise StKansasOregon StSan Jose St
20.5%
2.8%
Boise StKansasSan Jose StSyracuse
19.1%
0.3%
Fresno StHawaiiNevadaOregon St
7.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasNevadaSan Diego St
5.0%
<0.1%
Boise StKansasNevadaUtah St
5.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiKansasSan Diego St
3.9%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiKansasUtah St
3.7%
<0.1%
Boise StKansasSan Diego StUtah St
3.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaOregon StSan Diego St
3.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StKansasSan Diego StUtah St
3.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSan Jose St
2.9%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.7%
<0.1%
KansasNevadaSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.5%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiSan Jose StSyracuse
2.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiKansasSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
1.9%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StUtah St
1.9%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
1.8%
0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon StUtah St
1.4%
0.2%
KansasSan Diego StSan Jose StUtah St
1.4%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StSan Diego St
1.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose StUtah St
1.0%
0.3%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose StUtah St
1.0%
0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSan Jose St
0.9%
0.3%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose StUtah St
0.8%
0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon StSan Jose St
0.7%
0.3%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
0.6%
0.4%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com