Baylor

BaylorBears

1-1 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BaylorSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsTarleton StateTAR
W45-3
29/07
@UtahUTAH
L12-23
39/14
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:39%
49/21
@ColoradoCOLO
Win prob:58%
59/28
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:56%
610/05
@Iowa StISU
Win prob:19%
810/19
@Texas TechTTU
Win prob:32%
910/26
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:42%
1011/02
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:34%
1211/16
@West VirginiaWVU
Win prob:28%
1311/23
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:43%
1411/30
vsKansasKU
Win prob:32%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.2%
90.6%
7-2
1.4%
32.2%
6-3
5.8%
1.3%
5-4
14.8%
0%
4-5
25.2%
0%
3-6
26.7%
0%
2-7
17.9%
0%
1-8
6.9%
0%
0-9
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Baylor CCG Opponents

if Baylor makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
49.2%
ArizonaArizona
30.2%
UCFUCF
9.5%
UtahUtah
6.3%
TCUTCU
4.8%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorThis Week's Impact

Game
BaylorCCG OddsAway
BaylorCCG OddsHome
UCFUCF@TCUTCU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Texas StTXST
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Kansas StKSU
0.6%
(-0.1%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
0.8%
(+0.1%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
0.8%
(+0.1%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Baylor CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
88.0%
<0.1%
Colorado
100.0%
<0.1%
Air Force
100.0%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
West Virginia
92.9%
<0.1%
Kansas
90.9%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
90.0%
<0.1%
TCU
83.3%
<0.1%
Houston
80.0%
<0.1%
Iowa St
78.6%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
42.5%
0.7%
Air ForceColorado
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUColorado
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceWest Virginia
93.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansas
93.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma St
93.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas Tech
92.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCU
90.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa St
88.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYU
77.8%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
46.7%
<0.1%
BYUTexas Tech
45.5%
<0.1%
TCUWest Virginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas Tech
41.7%
<0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
40.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
40.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas Tech
40.0%
<0.1%
BYUHouston
40.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCU
40.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
37.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StWest Virginia
35.3%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
35.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoHouston
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas
30.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa St
29.6%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansas
28.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
27.9%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa St
26.7%
<0.1%
BYUIowa St
26.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTCU
25.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
KansasWest Virginia
22.7%
<0.1%
HoustonWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
18.9%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
13.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StWest Virginia
12.5%
<0.1%
BYUKansas
12.5%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
19.0%
1.6%
Air ForceColoradoHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTexas Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUOklahoma St
57.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUTexas Tech
53.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StOklahoma St
47.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasOklahoma St
46.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoKansas
41.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonOklahoma St
41.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTexas Tech
41.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoIowa St
41.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonTexas Tech
41.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTexas Tech
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonKansas
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoWest Virginia
37.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUKansas
35.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonIowa St
35.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUIowa St
34.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas TechWest Virginia
34.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasWest Virginia
34.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoTexas Tech
28.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StKansas
27.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUWest Virginia
26.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTCU
25.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTCU
25.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUWest Virginia
25.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUTCU
23.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUHouston
22.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StWest Virginia
21.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StWest Virginia
18.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonTCU
18.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUColorado
16.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonWest Virginia
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonWest Virginia
15.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTCU
14.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StTexas Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
BYUTCUTexas Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechWest Virginia
6.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechWest Virginia
5.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas Tech
4.9%
<0.1%
BYUKansasWest Virginia
4.8%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StTexas Tech
4.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
3.9%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas Tech
3.9%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasWest Virginia
3.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas Tech
3.2%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTCU
3.1%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StWest Virginia
3.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
2.1%
<0.1%
KansasTCUWest Virginia
2.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StWest Virginia
1.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUWest Virginia
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com