BYU

BYUCougars

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BYUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSouthern IllinoisSIU
W41-13
29/06
@SMUSMU
W18-15
39/14
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:51%
49/21
vsKansas StKSU
Win prob:15%
59/28
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:44%
710/12
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:19%
810/18
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:44%
910/26
@UCFUCF
Win prob:18%
1111/09
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:19%
1211/16
vsKansasKU
Win prob:33%
1311/23
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:32%
1411/30
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:60%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BYURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
94.7%
7-2
0.3%
61.8%
6-3
2.2%
7.0%
5-4
8.0%
0.0%
4-5
19.3%
0%
3-6
29.0%
0%
2-7
25.9%
0%
1-8
12.7%
0%
0-9
2.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely BYU CCG Opponents

if BYU makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
40.6%
ArizonaArizona
31.3%
UCFUCF
12.5%
UtahUtah
9.4%
Iowa StateIowa St
6.3%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUThis Week's Impact

Game
BYUCCG OddsAway
BYUCCG OddsHome
UCFUCF@TCUTCU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Texas StTXST
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Kansas StKSU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BYULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
BYU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
57.8%
0.2%
KansasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
UCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
UtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
UCFUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas St
66.7%
<0.1%
KansasKansas St
66.7%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma St
60.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUtah
60.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
56.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona St
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas St
42.9%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCF
29.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas St
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
17.4%
1.0%
Arizona StUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StWyoming
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFWyoming
80.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFWyoming
71.4%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StWyoming
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtahWyoming
70.0%
<0.1%
UCFUtahWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StWyoming
60.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StWyoming
57.1%
<0.1%
Kansas StUtahWyoming
56.3%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCFWyoming
43.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasUCFWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorHouston
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUtah
23.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas St
20.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas St
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUtah
19.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StWyoming
18.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StOklahoma St
16.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasKansas St
14.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StOklahoma St
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUtah
13.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtah
13.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas
12.5%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StOklahoma St
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUCF
12.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas St
11.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma St
11.1%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasKansas St
11.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas St
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StOklahoma St
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUtah
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUCF
9.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
8.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUCF
7.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
6.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCF
6.7%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFUtah
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
5.9%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StUtah
5.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas
5.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
5.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUtah
4.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUCF
4.5%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCFUtah
4.0%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUCF
3.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
8.2%
0.9%
Arizona StHoustonOklahoma StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansasWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUCFWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas StWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUCFWyoming
24.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma StWyoming
22.2%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFUtahWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StOklahoma StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUtahWyoming
18.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUCFWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCFWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUtahWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtahWyoming
15.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUtahWyoming
15.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUCFWyoming
13.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUCFWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StUCFWyoming
11.5%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtahWyoming
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasKansas StWyoming
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylorWyoming
11.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUtahWyoming
10.3%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUCFWyoming
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUCFWyoming
9.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFUtahWyoming
9.1%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtahWyoming
8.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtahWyoming
7.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUCFWyoming
7.4%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StOklahoma StWyoming
6.7%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUtahWyoming
6.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasKansas StWyoming
5.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StOklahoma StWyoming
5.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUCFWyoming
5.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas StWyoming
4.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCFWyoming
4.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUCFWyoming
4.1%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCFUtahWyoming
4.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUtahWyoming
2.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas StUCF
0.8%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com