Utah

UtahUtes

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

16.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UtahSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
vsSouthern UtahSUU
W49-0
29/07
vsBaylorBAY
W23-12
39/14
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:87%
49/21
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:56%
59/28
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:42%
710/11
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:60%
810/19
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:63%
910/26
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:72%
1111/09
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:81%
1211/16
@ColoradoCOLO
Win prob:82%
1311/23
vsIowa StISU
Win prob:60%
1411/29
@UCFUCF
Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UtahRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
1.1%
100.0%
8-1
6.5%
94.8%
7-2
17.6%
46.0%
6-3
27.1%
2.6%
5-4
25.4%
0%
4-5
15.2%
0%
3-6
5.6%
0%
2-7
1.3%
0%
1-8
0.2%
0%
0-9
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Utah CCG Opponents

if Utah makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
53.8%
ArizonaArizona
26.2%
UCFUCF
8.4%
Iowa StateIowa St
6.1%
TCUTCU
5.5%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UtahThis Week's Impact

Game
UtahCCG OddsAway
UtahCCG OddsHome
UCFUCF@TCUTCU
15.6%
(-0.4%)		16.5%
(+0.4%)
Arizona StASU@Texas StTXST
16.1%
(+0.1%)		16.1%
(-0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Kansas StKSU
15.8%
(-0.3%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
16.1%
(-0.0%)		16.1%
(+0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
16.1%
(+0.1%)		15.8%
(-0.2%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
16.1%
(-0.0%)		16.1%
(+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
16.0%
(-0.1%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
15.8%
(-0.3%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
16.1%
(-0.0%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
16.0%
(-0.1%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
15.9%
(-0.2%)		16.2%
(+0.1%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
16.2%
(+0.1%)		16.0%
(-0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
16.3%
(+0.2%)		15.9%
(-0.2%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UtahLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Utah CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.9%
Any 1 loss
94.9%
5.8%
Utah St
100.0%
0.1%
Oklahoma St
98.0%
0.7%
Colorado
96.9%
0.2%
TCU
96.7%
0.5%
UCF
96.7%
1.4%
Houston
96.0%
0.4%
Arizona St
95.5%
0.5%
Iowa St
95.2%
0.5%
BYU
94.8%
0.2%
Arizona
88.7%
1.2%
Any 2 losses
48.7%
16.1%
BYUUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah St
98.4%
0.1%
HoustonUtah St
98.2%
<0.1%
UCFUtah St
98.0%
0.2%
Iowa StUtah St
97.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoUtah St
96.9%
<0.1%
TCUUtah St
96.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUtah St
92.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah St
87.3%
0.2%
ColoradoHouston
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma St
67.8%
0.3%
Arizona StBYU
66.9%
0.1%
BYUHouston
66.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StColorado
65.9%
0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
63.5%
0.2%
BYUColorado
62.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma St
61.9%
0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
59.4%
1.0%
Arizona StOklahoma St
58.4%
0.4%
HoustonUCF
57.6%
0.5%
Arizona StHouston
57.5%
0.3%
ColoradoTCU
54.9%
0.1%
BYUIowa St
52.4%
0.1%
HoustonTCU
52.3%
0.2%
Iowa StOklahoma St
51.1%
0.5%
BYUUCF
51.1%
0.3%
Oklahoma StTCU
50.9%
0.4%
BYUTCU
50.4%
0.1%
ColoradoIowa St
49.6%
0.1%
Arizona StUCF
48.8%
0.9%
HoustonIowa St
48.8%
0.2%
Arizona StTCU
48.0%
0.4%
Arizona StIowa St
47.1%
0.4%
ColoradoUCF
46.8%
0.3%
Iowa StTCU
45.5%
0.3%
ArizonaOklahoma St
43.9%
1.0%
TCUUCF
43.5%
0.8%
Iowa StUCF
40.9%
0.8%
ArizonaHouston
38.7%
0.5%
ArizonaUCF
37.0%
1.8%
ArizonaArizona St
37.0%
0.8%
ArizonaBYU
36.0%
0.3%
ArizonaTCU
35.9%
0.7%
ArizonaColorado
33.5%
0.2%
ArizonaIowa St
29.5%
0.8%
Any 3 losses
6.7%
26.0%
BYUColoradoUtah St
77.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUtah St
75.7%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonUtah St
71.4%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUUCFUtah St
65.3%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUtah St
62.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUUtah St
62.1%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StUtah St
60.9%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFUtah St
59.5%
0.2%
Iowa StTCUUtah St
57.4%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah St
56.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonUtah St
56.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFUtah St
55.6%
0.1%
ColoradoUCFUtah St
52.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah St
51.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUtah St
51.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
TCUUCFUtah St
48.4%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFUtah St
48.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StIowa StUtah St
47.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUUtah St
47.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoUtah St
45.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoUtah St
45.2%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUtah St
45.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUUtah St
44.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StUCFUtah St
43.4%
0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUtah St
41.9%
0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah St
40.0%
0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUtah St
34.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtah St
32.5%
0.1%
HoustonTCUUtah St
30.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtah St
30.4%
0.3%
ArizonaBYUUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtah St
25.6%
0.1%
Arizona StColoradoHouston
11.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoHouston
9.5%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoOklahoma St
8.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUOklahoma St
7.5%
0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUCF
7.2%
0.4%
BYUHoustonOklahoma St
6.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUTCU
6.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUColorado
6.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonIowa St
6.3%
0.1%
BYUHoustonIowa St
6.3%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoUCF
6.1%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoTCU
5.7%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTCU
5.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonOklahoma St
5.5%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUCF
5.5%
0.3%
Arizona StHoustonOklahoma St
5.4%
0.2%
Arizona StHoustonUCF
5.3%
0.3%
ColoradoIowa StOklahoma St
5.2%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonTCU
5.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoTCU
4.8%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StUCF
4.7%
0.2%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma St
4.6%
0.4%
ArizonaArizona StColorado
4.6%
0.2%
ColoradoHoustonUCF
4.5%
0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOklahoma St
4.5%
0.1%
Arizona StColoradoIowa St
4.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTCU
4.3%
0.2%
ColoradoHoustonTCU
4.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonTCU
4.2%
0.1%
BYUIowa StOklahoma St
4.2%
0.1%
Arizona StBYUIowa St
4.1%
0.1%
BYUHoustonUCF
3.7%
0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCF
3.7%
0.7%
ArizonaColoradoUCF
3.5%
0.4%
ArizonaArizona StBYU
3.3%
0.2%
ArizonaHoustonIowa St
3.3%
0.3%
ColoradoTCUUCF
3.2%
0.2%
Arizona StBYUUCF
3.1%
0.2%
Arizona StOklahoma StTCU
3.1%
0.3%
ArizonaColoradoIowa St
3.0%
0.2%
Arizona StColoradoUCF
2.9%
0.2%
ColoradoOklahoma StTCU
2.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUHouston
2.7%
0.1%
ArizonaColoradoTCU
2.7%
0.1%
Arizona StIowa StOklahoma St
2.6%
0.3%
HoustonIowa StTCU
2.5%
0.2%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma St
2.5%
0.6%
ArizonaHoustonUCF
2.5%
0.7%
ArizonaBYUUCF
2.5%
0.4%
BYUIowa StUCF
2.4%
0.2%
HoustonIowa StOklahoma St
2.4%
0.2%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
2.4%
0.3%
ColoradoIowa StUCF
2.4%
0.2%
ArizonaArizona StTCU
2.3%
0.5%
Arizona StIowa StTCU
2.3%
0.2%
ArizonaHoustonTCU
2.3%
0.3%
ArizonaBYUOklahoma St
2.2%
0.2%
Iowa StTCUUCF
2.2%
0.5%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
2.2%
1.5%
ColoradoHoustonIowa St
2.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUCF
2.0%
0.7%
ArizonaArizona StUCF
1.9%
1.2%
ArizonaArizona StHouston
1.9%
0.3%
HoustonIowa StUCF
1.9%
0.4%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
1.8%
0.6%
Arizona StBYUHouston
1.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
1.8%
0.6%
Arizona StIowa StUCF
1.8%
0.6%
ArizonaTCUUCF
1.6%
1.1%
ArizonaBYUIowa St
1.6%
0.2%
BYUTCUUCF
1.4%
0.2%
ArizonaColoradoOklahoma St
1.4%
0.2%
Arizona StTCUUCF
1.4%
0.5%
ColoradoIowa StTCU
1.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUTCU
1.3%
0.1%
ArizonaBYUColorado
1.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTCU
1.3%
0.5%
HoustonTCUUCF
1.3%
0.3%
BYUIowa StTCU
1.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma St
1.1%
0.7%
ArizonaIowa StUCF
1.0%
1.2%
ArizonaArizona StIowa St
0.8%
0.5%
Any 4 losses
3.4%
2.6%
BYUHoustonTCUUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonIowa StUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonOklahoma StUtah St
15.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUHoustonUtah St
14.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOklahoma StUtah St
11.1%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonOklahoma StUtah St
9.1%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StTCUUtah St
8.3%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUCFUtah St
8.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUCFUtah St
7.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StUCFUtah St
6.9%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTCUUtah St
6.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StIowa StOklahoma StUtah St
6.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonOklahoma StUtah St
6.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUHoustonUtah St
6.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StIowa StUCFUtah St
6.0%
0.1%
BYUIowa StOklahoma StUtah St
5.9%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StTCUUtah St
5.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonIowa StUtah St
5.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTCUUtah St
4.8%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonUCFUtah St
4.8%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonUCFUtah St
4.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StOklahoma StUtah St
4.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoHoustonUtah St
4.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCUUtah St
4.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUIowa StUtah St
4.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma StUtah St
3.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUOklahoma StUtah St
3.5%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUCFUtah St
3.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoIowa StUtah St
3.2%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUCFUtah St
3.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUCFUtah St
3.0%
0.2%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCFUtah St
2.9%
0.1%
HoustonTCUUCFUtah St
2.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCFUtah St
2.8%
0.2%
ArizonaBYUTCUUtah St
2.8%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUUCFUtah St
2.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCUUtah St
2.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma StUtah St
2.5%
0.1%
Arizona StIowa StTCUUtah St
2.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StTCUUtah St
2.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUCFUtah St
2.0%
0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTCUUtah St
1.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUCFUtah St
1.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StIowa StUtah St
1.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUCFUtah St
1.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUUCFUtah St
1.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUCFUtah St
1.2%
0.2%
ArizonaTCUUCFUtah St
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UtahCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com