IndianaHoosiers

3-0 T1st (1-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	W31-7
2	9/06	vsWestern IllinoisWIU	W77-3
3	9/14	@UCLAUCLA	W42-13
4	9/21	vsCharlotteCLT	Win prob:91%
5	9/28	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:37%
6	10/05	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:53%
8	10/19	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:48%
9	10/26	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:28%
10	11/02	@Michigan StateMSU	Win prob:58%
11	11/09	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:13%
13	11/23	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:4%
14	11/30	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:78%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	100.0%
8-1	0.2%	73.6%
7-2	2.5%	10.6%
6-3	11.3%	0.1%
5-4	25.5%	0%
4-5	31.5%	0%
3-6	21.1%	0%
2-7	6.9%	0%
1-8	0.9%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

42.2%

33.3%

11.1%

8.9%

4.4%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@NebraskaNEB	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
USCUSC@MichiganMICH	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
IowaIOWA@MinnesotaMINN	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@IndianaIU	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Oregon StateORST	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
NorthwesternNU@WashingtonWASH	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ohio StateOSU	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@MarylandMD	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@LSULSU	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@Virginia TechVT	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Kent StateKENT@Penn StatePSU	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@Boston CollegeBC	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

74.8%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

92.3%

<0.1%

85.0%

<0.1%

75.5%

<0.1%

64.2%

0.1%

Any 2 losses

11.4%

2.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

55.6%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

34.4%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

31.7%

<0.1%

29.4%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

21.6%

<0.1%

19.0%

0.1%

18.8%

<0.1%

17.9%

<0.1%

16.2%

0.2%

13.8%

<0.1%

10.9%

0.2%

8.6%

0.1%

5.8%

<0.1%

5.1%

0.9%

4.5%

0.4%

Any 3 losses

2.8%

0.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

17.4%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

4.0%

<0.1%

1.4%

<0.1%

1.2%

<0.1%

0.9%

0.2%

0.7%

0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com