ClemsonTigers

1-1 T5th (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

47.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	L3-34
2	9/07	vsApp StateAPP	W66-20
4	9/21	vsNC StateNCSU	Win prob:85%
5	9/28	vsStanfordSTAN	Win prob:95%
6	10/05	@Florida StateFSU	Win prob:65%
7	10/12	@Wake ForestWAKE	Win prob:87%
8	10/19	vsVirginiaUVA	Win prob:95%
10	11/02	vsLouisvilleLOU	Win prob:66%
11	11/09	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:61%
12	11/16	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:77%
13	11/23	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
14	11/30	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:73%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	13.4%	99.7%
7-1	32.5%	84.8%
6-2	31.9%	19.5%
5-3	16.7%	0.1%
4-4	4.7%	0%
3-5	0.8%	0%
2-6	0.1%	0%
1-7	0%	0%
0-8	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

42.6%

25.0%

16.3%

9.9%

6.3%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
James MadisonJMU@North CarolinaUNC	47.1% (+0.0%)	47.1% (-0.0%)
DukeDUKE@Middle TennesseeMTSU	47.0% (-0.1%)	47.5% (+0.4%)
VirginiaUVA@Coastal CarolinaCCU	46.7% (-0.4%)	47.2% (+0.1%)
TCUTCU@SMUSMU	47.0% (-0.1%)	47.1% (+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@ClemsonCLEM	22.5% (-24.6%)	51.4% (+4.3%)
CaliforniaCAL@Florida StateFSU	45.3% (-1.8%)	48.1% (+1.0%)
Youngstown StateYSU@PittsburghPITT	47.7% (+0.6%)	47.0% (-0.1%)
Georgia TechGT@LouisvilleLOU	48.6% (+1.5%)	46.6% (-0.5%)
RutgersRUTG@Virginia TechVT	46.9% (-0.2%)	47.2% (+0.1%)
Michigan StateMSU@Boston CollegeBC	46.7% (-0.4%)	47.3% (+0.2%)
StanfordSTAN@SyracuseSYR	48.0% (+0.9%)	46.8% (-0.3%)
MiamiMIA@South FloridaUSF	47.2% (+0.1%)	46.8% (-0.3%)

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.7%

8.7%

Any 1 loss

87.3%

25.5%

99.7%

3.3%

99.2%

1.0%

92.0%

0.4%

91.6%

1.3%

90.8%

1.5%

89.0%

2.6%

88.1%

4.8%

86.2%

0.5%

85.3%

5.6%

73.5%

4.5%

Any 2 losses

41.9%

31.7%

99.7%

0.4%

94.8%

<0.1%

94.3%

0.2%

91.4%

0.2%

91.3%

0.1%

89.7%

0.6%

89.6%

0.5%

89.4%

1.0%

89.0%

1.8%

88.6%

0.3%

88.3%

0.2%

87.5%

<0.1%

87.4%

0.5%

84.2%

2.1%

82.9%

0.6%

74.8%

1.6%

71.9%

0.5%

50.0%

<0.1%

43.0%

<0.1%

38.0%

<0.1%

35.8%

<0.1%

34.9%

0.7%

32.2%

0.2%

32.0%

0.8%

31.2%

0.2%

30.4%

0.4%

29.1%

0.1%

28.7%

0.1%

28.1%

1.4%

27.6%

0.3%

27.6%

<0.1%

26.0%

0.5%

24.5%

0.3%

24.4%

0.3%

24.3%

0.8%

19.8%

1.6%

19.5%

3.0%

19.2%

0.7%

18.3%

1.0%

17.7%

0.2%

14.9%

0.3%

14.3%

0.8%

13.5%

2.5%

12.6%

1.4%

9.5%

2.9%

Any 3 losses

24.1%

11.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

93.0%

<0.1%

90.7%

0.1%

89.5%

<0.1%

86.9%

0.2%

86.0%

0.2%

85.0%

<0.1%

78.0%

0.2%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

48.1%

<0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

37.4%

<0.1%

36.0%

<0.1%

35.6%

0.3%

35.3%

<0.1%

34.3%

<0.1%

33.9%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

31.6%

<0.1%

31.5%

0.1%

31.3%

0.1%

31.3%

<0.1%

31.3%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

28.2%

0.5%

27.7%

<0.1%

27.6%

<0.1%

27.2%

0.1%

25.8%

0.2%

25.0%

<0.1%

24.7%

0.3%

24.0%

<0.1%

23.7%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

22.2%

0.1%

21.9%

<0.1%

21.0%

0.3%

20.2%

0.2%

20.2%

0.4%

19.5%

1.1%

19.3%

0.3%

19.2%

<0.1%

18.9%

<0.1%

18.8%

0.1%

17.8%

0.6%

17.1%

<0.1%

17.0%

0.3%

16.7%

<0.1%

15.7%

0.1%

15.5%

0.1%

14.4%

0.3%

14.0%

0.3%

13.9%

0.1%

13.8%

<0.1%

13.8%

0.9%

12.7%

0.5%

11.2%

<0.1%

10.4%

0.3%

9.9%

1.1%

1.5%

<0.1%

0.7%

0.1%

0.5%

0.2%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com