GeorgiaBulldogs

3-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

37.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsClemsonCLEM(N)	W34-3
2	9/07	vsTennessee TechTNTC	W48-3
3	9/14	@KentuckyUK	W13-12
5	9/28	@AlabamaALA	Win prob:42%
6	10/05	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:96%
7	10/12	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:98%
8	10/19	@TexasTEX	Win prob:39%
10	11/02	vsFloridaFLA(N)	Win prob:96%
11	11/09	@Ole MissMISS	Win prob:72%
12	11/16	vsTennesseeTENN	Win prob:69%
13	11/23	vsMassachusettsMASS	Win prob:99%
14	11/29	vsGeorgia TechGT	Win prob:96%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	7.4%	100.0%
7-1	28.8%	93.2%
6-2	38.1%	7.5%
5-3	20.7%	0%
4-4	4.7%	0%
3-5	0.3%	0%
2-6	0.0%	0%
1-7	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

41.8%

31.4%

12.8%

7.6%

6.3%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
AkronAKR@South CarolinaSC	37.5% (+0.4%)	37.1% (-0.0%)
UL MonroeULM@TexasTEX	38.7% (+1.7%)	37.1% (-0.0%)
ArkansasARK@AuburnAUB	37.0% (-0.0%)	37.1% (+0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@OklahomaOU	37.0% (-0.1%)	37.3% (+0.2%)
OhioOHIO@KentuckyUK	36.9% (-0.2%)	37.2% (+0.1%)
UCLAUCLA@LSULSU	37.2% (+0.1%)	37.1% (-0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@Ole MissMISS	37.2% (+0.1%)	37.1% (+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Texas A&MTA&M	37.6% (+0.6%)	37.0% (-0.1%)
FloridaFLA@Mississippi StateMSST	37.0% (-0.1%)	37.3% (+0.2%)
VanderbiltVAN@MissouriMIZ	38.9% (+1.8%)	37.0% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Akron

UL Monroe

Tennessee

Vanderbilt

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Texas

Auburn

Oklahoma

Texas A&M

CCG: 37.6% • Scenario: 25.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

7.0%

Any 1 loss

93.3%

27.7%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.3%

98.8%

0.3%

97.7%

2.8%

95.4%

3.2%

94.3%

9.6%

92.5%

0.1%

91.6%

0.3%

90.3%

11.0%

Any 2 losses

10.8%

37.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

97.0%

<0.1%

96.6%

0.1%

95.5%

0.4%

94.4%

0.1%

93.9%

0.1%

93.0%

0.4%

92.3%

<0.1%

91.9%

<0.1%

84.7%

0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.5%

<0.1%

21.5%

0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.1%

0.2%

17.6%

0.5%

16.2%

0.5%

15.0%

0.4%

14.3%

0.4%

13.6%

<0.1%

12.1%

0.1%

11.7%

4.3%

10.4%

0.1%

10.3%

1.3%

10.0%

3.7%

9.5%

0.1%

6.2%

4.9%

6.2%

4.4%

4.7%

15.0%

Any 3 losses

7.8%

1.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

16.3%

<0.1%

13.2%

0.2%

12.7%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

10.9%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.1%

0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

7.4%

0.2%

7.2%

0.2%

5.8%

0.1%

4.0%

0.7%

2.5%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

7.1%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com