SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
TexasTEX	99.3%	51.2%	1.5%	-	58.0%
AlabamaALA	100%	82.3%	11.1%	<0.1%	42.4%
GeorgiaUGA	100%	93.2%	7.5%	-	37.1%
TennesseeTENN	99.4%	56.6%	1.2%	-	23.2%
LSULSU	99.9%	54.6%	1.7%	-	11.6%
Ole MissMISS	98.8%	51.3%	1.3%	-	10.9%
MissouriMIZ	98.9%	43.7%	0.9%	-	8.5%
OklahomaOU	100%	95.2%	24.7%	<0.1%	4.7%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	53.5%	1.2%	-	3.4%
South CarolinaSC	-	90.9%	6.7%	-	0.2%
AuburnAUB	100%	77.5%	3.1%	-	<0.1%
ArkansasARK	-	-	20.7%	-	<0.1%
FloridaFLA	-	-	50.0%	-	-
KentuckyUK	-	-	5.6%	-	-
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	100%	-	-
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
TexasTEX(0-0)	35.7%	43.5%	17.4%	3.1%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.1
AlabamaALA(0-0)	12.2%	32.2%	33.6%	16.8%	4.6%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
GeorgiaUGA(1-0)	7.4%	28.8%	38.1%	20.7%	4.7%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.1
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	6.6%	28.4%	39.6%	21.0%	3.9%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.1
LSULSU(1-0)	2.4%	15.8%	32.5%	31.0%	14.6%	3.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	-	5.5
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	1.8%	14.8%	33.1%	31.5%	14.9%	3.5%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	2.6%	15.4%	31.6%	30.4%	15.2%	4.2%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
Texas A&MTA&M(1-0)	0.4%	5.2%	18.5%	31.9%	28.0%	13.0%	2.8%	0.3%	-	4.7
OklahomaOU(0-0)	0.2%	2.2%	9.6%	22.5%	30.1%	23.2%	9.9%	2.2%	0.2%	4.0
South CarolinaSC(1-1)	-	<0.1%	1.5%	9.9%	28.3%	37.5%	20.0%	2.8%	-	3.3
AuburnAUB(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.8%	5.7%	20.5%	35.4%	28.1%	8.7%	0.8%	2.9
KentuckyUK(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	0.6%	7.7%	33.2%	40.0%	16.9%	1.7%	2.3
ArkansasARK(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	2.7%	12.2%	30.4%	37.6%	16.7%	1.5
FloridaFLA(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.7%	10.9%	33.4%	38.9%	14.9%	1.5
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	1.1%	9.2%	30.3%	40.6%	18.7%	1.3
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.3%	9.6%	36.2%	52.8%	0.6

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com