Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L6-31 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L12-13 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W41-6 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W20-17 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:92% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:66% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:75% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:12% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:90% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:7% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:53% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.4% | 5.1% |
| 5-3 | 8.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 44.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 37.0% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 9.1% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 0.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Auburn
Ole Miss
UCF
Missouri
Tennessee
AlabamaCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.7%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MissouriTennesseeAlabamaCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 52.1%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
5.2%
0.2%Any 1 loss
5.0%
0.2%
5.4%
0.1%
3.5%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29