Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W13-6 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L20-26 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W31-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L5-24 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L24-41 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:22% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:27% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:26% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:76% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:3% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:7% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:39% |
Data from 2024-10-06
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 6-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 1.0% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 6.4% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 22.3% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 37.2% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 27.6% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 5.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.4%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.4%
Data from 2024-10-06
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06