TempleOwls

2-1 T2nd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@MassachusettsMASS	W42-10
2	9/06	vsHowardHOW	W55-7
3	9/13	vsOklahomaOU	L3-42
4	9/20	@Georgia TechGT	Win prob:14%
6	10/04	vsUTSAUTSA	Win prob:29%
7	10/11	vsNavyNAVY	Win prob:23%
8	10/18	@CharlotteCLT	Win prob:55%
9	10/25	@TulsaTLSA	Win prob:75%
10	11/01	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:38%
11	11/08	@ArmyARMY	Win prob:10%
13	11/22	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:15%
14	11/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:27%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	89.8%
6-2	1.1%	32.9%
5-3	6.0%	0.2%
4-4	17.7%	0%
3-5	30.6%	0%
2-6	28.9%	0%
1-7	13.3%	0%
0-8	2.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

24.4%

22.2%

22.2%

22.2%

8.9%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
North TexasUNT@ArmyARMY	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
UTSAUTSA@Colorado StateCSU	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South FloridaUSF	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@CharlotteCLT	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.1%)
BYUBYU@East CarolinaECU	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
TempleTEM@Georgia TechGT	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Ole MissMISS	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

North Texas

Colorado State

Tulsa

South Florida

UAB

Tulane

Arkansas

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Tulsa

South Florida

BYU

Georgia Tech

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 12.8%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

83.3%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

55.9%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

90.9%

<0.1%

90.5%

<0.1%

87.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

41.2%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

23.5%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

14.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

33.4%

0.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

61.5%

<0.1%

52.9%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

45.5%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

44.2%

<0.1%

38.5%

<0.1%

36.1%

<0.1%

35.0%

<0.1%

34.6%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.9%

<0.1%

30.9%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

27.3%

<0.1%

26.5%

<0.1%

26.0%

0.1%

24.3%

<0.1%

23.8%

0.2%

23.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com