UABBlazers

2-1 T2nd (0-1) in AAC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsAlabama StateALST	W52-42
2	9/06	@NavyNAVY	L24-38
3	9/13	vsAkronAKR	W31-28
4	9/20	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:4%
6	10/04	vsArmyARMY	Win prob:19%
7	10/11	@Florida AtlanticFAU	Win prob:52%
8	10/18	vsMemphisMEM	Win prob:19%
10	11/01	@UConnCONN	Win prob:25%
11	11/08	@RiceRICE	Win prob:48%
12	11/15	vsNorth TexasUNT	Win prob:44%
13	11/22	vsSouth FloridaUSF	Win prob:24%
14	11/29	@TulsaTLSA	Win prob:77%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.1%	93.5%
6-2	1.1%	31.1%
5-3	6.6%	0.1%
4-4	20.0%	0%
3-5	31.9%	0%
2-6	27.2%	0%
1-7	11.4%	0%
0-8	1.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

25.6%

23.1%

20.5%

17.9%

12.8%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
North TexasUNT@ArmyARMY	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
UTSAUTSA@Colorado StateCSU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South FloridaUSF	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@CharlotteCLT	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
BYUBYU@East CarolinaECU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
TempleTEM@Georgia TechGT	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Ole MissMISS	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Army

Colorado State

Tulsa

Rice

BYU

UAB

Tulane

Arkansas

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

North Texas

Georgia Tech

Tennessee

Ole Miss

CCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 13.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

41.4%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

93.2%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

32.8%

<0.1%

29.4%

<0.1%

27.3%

<0.1%

25.4%

<0.1%

21.4%

<0.1%

18.6%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

27.6%

0.9%

50.0%

<0.1%

45.7%

<0.1%

44.7%

<0.1%

42.2%

<0.1%

28.3%

0.1%

26.3%

0.2%

25.7%

0.2%

7.7%

<0.1%

1.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com