ArkansasRazorbacks

2-1 T5th (0-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsAlabama A&MAAMU	W52-7
2	9/06	vsArkansas StateARST(N)	W56-14
3	9/13	@Ole MissMISS	L35-41
4	9/20	@MemphisMEM	Win prob:50%
5	9/27	vsNotre DameND	Win prob:7%
7	10/11	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:25%
8	10/18	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:51%
9	10/25	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:60%
10	11/01	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:84%
12	11/15	@LSULSU	Win prob:34%
13	11/22	@TexasTEX	Win prob:17%
14	11/29	vsMissouriMIZ	Win prob:60%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.2%	76.3%
6-2	2.7%	15.9%
5-3	12.8%	0.1%
4-4	27.7%	0%
3-5	31.8%	0%
2-6	18.9%	0%
1-7	5.4%	0%
0-8	0.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

60.0%

23.3%

8.3%

6.7%

1.7%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@MissouriMIZ	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
AuburnAUB@OklahomaOU	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.5% (-0.1%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@Mississippi StateMSST	0.6% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@LSULSU	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Ole MissMISS	0.5% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@TexasTEX	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
FloridaFLA@MiamiMIA	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
Georgia StateGAST@VanderbiltVAN	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Missouri

Oklahoma

Mississippi State

SE Louisiana

UAB

Tulane

Memphis

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Auburn

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 39.5%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

49.4%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

71.5%

0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

10.2%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

20.6%

1.5%

80.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

26.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.2%

<0.1%

20.8%

0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.8%

0.3%

19.7%

0.2%

17.9%

<0.1%

11.1%

0.5%

10.0%

<0.1%

4.9%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

13.3%

1.4%

23.1%

<0.1%

22.4%

<0.1%

19.5%

<0.1%

19.2%

0.1%

16.0%

0.3%

13.1%

0.2%

12.6%

0.5%

3.6%

<0.1%

0.7%

0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com