MarylandTerrapins

3-0 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	W39-7
2	9/05	vsNorthern IllinoisNIU	W20-9
3	9/13	vsTowsonTOW	W44-17
4	9/20	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:30%
6	10/04	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:46%
7	10/11	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:34%
8	10/18	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:59%
10	11/01	vsIndianaIU	Win prob:16%
11	11/08	@RutgersRUTG	Win prob:33%
12	11/15	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:27%
13	11/22	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:28%
14	11/29	vsMichigan StateMSU(N)	Win prob:67%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	100.0%
8-1	0.1%	38.3%
7-2	1.1%	2.0%
6-3	5.2%	0%
5-4	14.3%	0%
4-5	25.3%	0%
3-6	27.7%	0%
2-7	18.5%	0%
1-8	6.7%	0%
0-9	1.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

37.5%

25.0%

25.0%

12.5%

0.0%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@Washington StateWSU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Oregon StateORST@OregonORE	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@RutgersRUTG	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
MarylandMD@WisconsinWIS	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.1%)
MichiganMICH@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@USCUSC	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Notre DameND	0.4% (+0.3%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Washington

Rutgers

Maryland

Nebraska

Michigan State

Purdue

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Maryland

CCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 29.9%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

39.7%

0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

39.4%

<0.1%

38.1%

<0.1%

38.1%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

3.2%

0.7%

20.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

8.8%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.4%

<0.1%

2.8%

<0.1%

2.8%

<0.1%

2.5%

0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

2.3%

<0.1%

2.2%

<0.1%

2.2%

<0.1%

0.9%

0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com