RutgersScarlet Knights

3-0 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsOhioOHIO	W34-31
2	9/06	vsMiami (OH)M-OH	W45-17
3	9/13	vsNorfolk StateNORF	W60-10
4	9/19	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:45%
5	9/27	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:37%
7	10/10	@WashingtonWASH	Win prob:40%
8	10/18	vsOregonORE	Win prob:12%
9	10/25	@PurduePUR	Win prob:81%
10	11/01	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:35%
11	11/08	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:67%
13	11/22	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:7%
14	11/29	vsPenn StatePSU	Win prob:7%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.0%	89.3%
7-2	0.5%	18.9%
6-3	3.6%	0.0%
5-4	13.3%	0%
4-5	26.5%	0%
3-6	30.3%	0%
2-7	19.3%	0%
1-8	5.9%	0%
0-9	0.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

38.5%

23.1%

23.1%

7.7%

7.7%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@IndianaIU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@Washington StateWSU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Oregon StateORST@OregonORE	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@RutgersRUTG	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
MarylandMD@WisconsinWIS	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
MichiganMICH@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@USCUSC	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Notre DameND	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Illinois

Washington

Rutgers

Maryland

Nebraska

Michigan State

CCG: 4.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Oregon

Rutgers

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 44.5%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

86.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

91.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

18.3%

0.5%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

38.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.0%

0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.3%

<0.1%

12.6%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com