Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W38-24 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W42-3 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W31-15 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L17-24 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L10-16 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:15% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:46% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:43% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:74% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:34% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:90% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:23% |
Data from 2025-09-28
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.2% | 23.0% |
| 5-3 | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| 4-4 | 11.8% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 28.6% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 34.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 19.1% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 3.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-09-28
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-09-28
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Georgia
Florida
Mississippi State
Oklahoma
VanderbiltCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 0.4%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
GeorgiaOklahomaVanderbiltCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 17.3%
Data from 2025-09-28
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
23.7%
0.1%
15.4%
<0.1%
25.0%
<0.1%Data from 2025-09-28
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-09-28