SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
AlabamaALA	99.9%	94.0%	29.0%	0.1%	57.7%
Ole MissMISS	98.0%	55.3%	4.0%	<0.1%	46.9%
GeorgiaUGA	-	97.9%	13.2%	<0.1%	36.1%
TexasTEX	99.6%	64.6%	5.2%	-	35.0%
MissouriMIZ	100%	61.2%	5.0%	-	6.0%
TennesseeTENN	-	72.7%	4.1%	<0.1%	5.4%
Texas A&MTA&M	99.3%	49.8%	2.5%	-	4.4%
VanderbiltVAN	100%	84.2%	11.0%	<0.1%	3.1%
OklahomaOU	100%	96.9%	34.6%	0.2%	2.9%
LSULSU	-	87.6%	12.9%	<0.1%	1.9%
ArkansasARK	-	85.4%	17.9%	<0.1%	0.3%
AuburnAUB	-	-	23.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
FloridaFLA	-	100%	22.9%	0.1%	<0.1%
South CarolinaSC	-	-	42.9%	-	<0.1%
KentuckyUK	-	-	33.3%	1.1%	-
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	25.0%	-	-

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
Ole MissMISS(3-0)	19.1%	49.0%	26.4%	5.1%	0.4%	<0.1%	-	-	-	6.8
AlabamaALA(1-0)	16.8%	34.2%	30.0%	14.3%	4.0%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.4
TexasTEX(0-0)	10.7%	35.0%	33.7%	15.7%	4.2%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
GeorgiaUGA(1-1)	-	31.2%	42.8%	21.0%	4.6%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.0
TennesseeTENN(1-1)	-	6.0%	26.5%	35.4%	22.9%	7.7%	1.3%	<0.1%	-	5.0
Texas A&MTA&M(1-0)	0.7%	6.4%	21.3%	32.6%	26.2%	10.6%	2.2%	0.1%	-	4.8
MissouriMIZ(1-0)	0.9%	6.8%	19.7%	30.1%	26.5%	12.8%	3.1%	0.3%	-	4.7
VanderbiltVAN(1-0)	0.1%	2.1%	11.1%	27.4%	32.6%	20.1%	6.0%	0.6%	-	4.2
LSULSU(1-1)	-	1.0%	8.2%	24.1%	33.9%	23.6%	8.1%	1.1%	-	4.0
OklahomaOU(1-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.6%	17.9%	30.8%	28.7%	13.4%	2.6%	-	3.7
ArkansasARK(0-1)	-	<0.1%	1.4%	7.9%	22.4%	32.6%	25.1%	9.3%	1.2%	3.0
AuburnAUB(0-2)	-	-	0.2%	2.3%	11.8%	28.6%	34.5%	19.1%	3.5%	2.3
South CarolinaSC(1-2)	-	-	<0.1%	1.1%	8.3%	27.4%	40.8%	22.4%	-	2.3
FloridaFLA(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.1%	1.5%	8.5%	25.1%	36.7%	23.5%	4.7%	2.1
KentuckyUK(0-2)	-	-	0.0%	<0.1%	1.5%	9.3%	28.3%	40.5%	20.3%	1.3
Mississippi StateMSST(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.8%	5.7%	20.9%	40.4%	32.1%	1.0

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com