IndianaHoosiers

5-0 T1st (2-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

37.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsOld DominionODU	W27-14
2	9/06	vsKennesaw StateKENN	W56-9
3	9/12	vsIndiana StateINST	W73-0
4	9/20	vsIllinoisILL	W63-10
5	9/27	@IowaIOWA	W20-15
7	10/11	@OregonORE	Win prob:40%
8	10/18	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:98%
9	10/25	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:98%
10	11/01	@MarylandMD	Win prob:89%
11	11/08	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:33%
12	11/15	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:95%
14	11/28	@PurduePUR	Win prob:97%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	10.4%	100.0%
8-1	39.3%	63.8%
7-2	41.2%	4.1%
6-3	8.5%	0.0%
5-4	0.6%	0%
4-5	0.0%	0%
3-6	0%	0%
2-7	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

44.7%

38.9%

13.5%

2.3%

0.6%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
RutgersRUTG@WashingtonWASH	38.0% (+0.9%)	36.7% (-0.4%)
IowaIOWA@WisconsinWIS	37.6% (+0.4%)	36.1% (-1.0%)
MichiganMICH@USCUSC	31.7% (-5.5%)	40.7% (+3.6%)
IndianaIU@OregonORE	70.1% (+33.0%)	15.4% (-21.7%)
NebraskaNEB@MarylandMD	36.3% (-0.8%)	38.4% (+1.2%)
UCLAUCLA@Michigan StateMSU	37.1% (-0.1%)	37.1% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@MinnesotaMINN	37.2% (+0.1%)	37.1% (-0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@IllinoisILL	36.2% (-0.9%)	46.2% (+9.1%)
NorthwesternNU@Penn StatePSU	36.3% (-0.8%)	37.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Rutgers

Wisconsin

USC

Indiana

Purdue

Northwestern

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Indiana

CCG: 70.1% • Scenario: 39.7%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

10.4%

Any 1 loss

63.8%

39.3%

79.7%

0.2%

78.5%

1.3%

76.4%

0.3%

75.4%

0.6%

71.3%

21.1%

70.8%

0.1%

51.7%

15.7%

Any 2 losses

4.1%

41.2%

40.0%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

15.6%

<0.1%

15.2%

<0.1%

12.7%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

9.9%

0.4%

9.9%

0.5%

8.8%

1.2%

8.8%

2.5%

8.5%

0.6%

6.4%

0.3%

6.3%

1.9%

5.0%

0.4%

4.3%

0.8%

3.2%

0.4%

3.1%

32.2%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com