NebraskaCornhuskers

4-1 T7th (1-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCincinnatiCIN(N)	W20-17
2	9/06	vsAkronAKR	W68-0
3	9/13	vsHouston ChristianHCU	W59-7
4	9/20	vsMichiganMICH	L27-30
6	10/04	vsMichigan StateMSU	W38-27
7	10/11	@MarylandMD	Win prob:60%
8	10/17	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:58%
9	10/25	vsNorthwesternNU	Win prob:88%
10	11/01	vsUSCUSC	Win prob:35%
11	11/08	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:86%
13	11/22	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:8%
14	11/28	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:52%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.4%	61.9%
7-2	6.2%	4.5%
6-3	22.6%	0%
5-4	34.5%	0%
4-5	25.7%	0%
3-6	9.1%	0%
2-7	1.4%	0%
1-8	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

47.1%

29.4%

13.7%

7.8%

2.0%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
RutgersRUTG@WashingtonWASH	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
IowaIOWA@WisconsinWIS	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.1%)
MichiganMICH@USCUSC	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.1%)
IndianaIU@OregonORE	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.1%)
NebraskaNEB@MarylandMD	0.8% (+0.3%)	0.1% (-0.5%)
UCLAUCLA@Michigan StateMSU	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@MinnesotaMINN	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@IllinoisILL	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.9% (+0.4%)
NorthwesternNU@Penn StatePSU	0.6% (+0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Rutgers

Iowa

USC

Oregon

Nebraska

Illinois

Northwestern

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Nebraska

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 60.3%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

61.9%

0.4%

Any 1 loss

4.5%

6.2%

12.3%

<0.1%

7.5%

0.3%

7.0%

0.3%

5.6%

<0.1%

5.5%

0.8%

5.4%

0.4%

3.9%

4.4%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com