Washington St

Washington StateCougars

0-2 T1st (0-0) in P12

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.7%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Washington State's probability of making the PAC 12 Championship Game?

Washington State has a 4.7% chance to reach the PAC 12 Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Washington State's PAC 12 Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Washington StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/06
@WashingtonWASH
L10-24
29/12
@Kansas StKSU
L7-34
39/19
vsDuquesneDUQ
Win prob:90%
49/26
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:17%
510/03
vsFresno StFRES
Win prob:36%
610/09
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:39%
710/17
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:32%
810/24
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:13%
910/31
@San Diego StSDSU
Win prob:22%
1111/14
vsColorado StCSU
Win prob:51%
1211/21
@Texas StTXST
Win prob:44%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Washington StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0.0%
100.0%
6-1
0.5%
99.3%
5-2
3.6%
71.2%
4-3
13.1%
11.6%
3-4
26.9%
0.0%
2-5
31.4%
0%
1-6
19.5%
0%
0-7
4.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Washington St CCG Opponents

if Washington St makes the CCG

BOISBoise St
79.0%
FRESFresno St
7.5%
SDSUSan Diego St
7.5%
ORSTOregon St
2.4%
CSUColorado St
1.9%
USUUtah St
1.1%
TXSTTexas St
0.6%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Washington StThis Week's Impact

Game
Washington StCCG OddsAway Wins
Washington StCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
North TexasUNT@Texas StTXST
4.7%
(+0.0%)		4.6%
(-0.0%)
DuquesneDUQ@Washington StWSU
4.6%
(-0.0%)		4.7%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@UtahUTAH
4.7%
(+0.1%)		4.7%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@Colorado StCSU
4.7%
(+0.0%)		4.6%
(-0.1%)
James MadisonJMU@San Diego StSDSU
4.7%
(+0.0%)		4.7%
(-0.0%)
South DakotaSDAK@Boise StBOIS
4.7%
(+0.1%)		4.7%
(-0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@San Jose StSJSU
4.7%
(-0.0%)		4.7%
(+0.0%)
MontanaMONT@Oregon StORST
4.7%
(+0.0%)		4.7%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Washington StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Washington St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
99.4%
0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado St
100.0%
<0.1%
Duquesne
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise St
98.9%
<0.1%
San Diego St
98.3%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
82.9%
1.0%
ArizonaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StDuquesne
100.0%
<0.1%
DuquesneSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaDuquesne
100.0%
<0.1%
DuquesneFresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
DuquesneTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
DuquesneUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StDuquesne
100.0%
<0.1%
DuquesneOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon St
99.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaColorado St
99.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaFresno St
99.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBoise St
99.1%
0.1%
ArizonaSan Diego St
99.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StUtah St
93.4%
<0.1%
Colorado StTexas St
92.9%
<0.1%
Texas StUtah St
91.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas St
90.1%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas St
86.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StUtah St
86.4%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah St
86.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StOregon St
85.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
83.5%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
79.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas St
78.4%
<0.1%
Boise StColorado St
78.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StSan Diego St
77.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas St
75.5%
<0.1%
Colorado StFresno St
75.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon St
72.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
71.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon St
69.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
58.1%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno St
55.2%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego St
52.5%
0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Washington StCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com