Colorado St

Colorado StateRams

0-0 T1st (0-0) in P12

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Colorado State's probability of making the PAC 12 Championship Game?

Colorado State has a 2.9% chance to reach the PAC 12 Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Colorado State's PAC 12 Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Colorado StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsWyomingWYO
Win prob:57%
9/12
vsSouthern UtahSUU
Win prob:90%
9/19
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:9%
9/26
@UT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:29%
10/03
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:46%
10/15
@Texas StTXST
Win prob:27%
10/24
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:25%
10/31
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:32%
11/07
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:21%
11/14
@Washington StWSU
Win prob:26%
11/21
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:23%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0.0%
100.0%
6-1
0.2%
100.0%
5-2
1.9%
78.1%
4-3
8.2%
13.5%
3-4
21.3%
0%
2-5
32.4%
0%
1-6
27.0%
0%
0-7
9.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Colorado St CCG Opponents

if Colorado St makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
42.4%
San Diego StateSan Diego St
26.5%
Fresno StateFresno St
12.1%
Texas StateTexas St
9.5%
Washington StateWashington St
9.5%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StThis Week's Impact

Game
Colorado StCCG OddsAway
Colorado StCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Colorado St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
74.1%
0.5%
Boise StTexas StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StSouthern Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSouthern Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSouthern UtahUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon St
90.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas St
88.2%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUT San Antonio
87.5%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StWashington St
87.5%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUtah St
85.7%
<0.1%
BYUUtah StWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUtah St
81.8%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUtah St
80.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
77.8%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas St
77.8%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno St
72.7%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas St
72.2%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StWashington St
71.4%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StWashington St
68.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego St
60.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
57.1%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego St
55.6%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWashington StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StTexas St
40.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUtah St
14.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego St
9.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
42.2%
2.2%
BYUTexas StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San AntonioUtah StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSouthern UtahUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUtah StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSouthern UtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSouthern UtahWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern UtahTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSouthern UtahUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSouthern UtahWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSouthern UtahUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSouthern UtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahWashington StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahTexas StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern UtahTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StSouthern Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSouthern UtahUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StSouthern Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSouthern UtahTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern UtahUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSouthern UtahTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSouthern UtahUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUT San AntonioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
95.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StUT San Antonio
95.5%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
94.4%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San AntonioUtah St
91.3%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
90.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StWyoming
88.9%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
88.9%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
88.2%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
88.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUtah StWyoming
87.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StWashington StWyoming
86.7%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
85.7%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
83.3%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
81.6%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
80.6%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
78.8%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StWashington StWyoming
76.9%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUtah StWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StSouthern UtahWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
74.4%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StWyoming
73.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San AntonioWashington St
73.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San AntonioUtah St
72.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StWyoming
71.4%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StWyoming
70.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUtah StWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSouthern UtahWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas StWyoming
63.6%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StUT San Antonio
60.4%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San AntonioWyoming
60.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StWyoming
53.3%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWashington StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioWashington StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StWashington StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUSouthern UtahTexas StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioWashington StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUtah StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioUtah StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StSouthern Utah
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StWyoming
46.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWashington StWyoming
40.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
39.5%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
37.5%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
37.5%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUtah StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StTexas StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUtah StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StWashington StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StWashington St
31.3%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StTexas St
30.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
28.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUtah StWashington St
22.2%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUtah StWashington St
21.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StUtah St
21.2%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUtah StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StTexas StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWashington StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas StWashington St
19.6%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StWashington St
19.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StUtah St
18.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
18.2%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
17.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StSan Diego St
16.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StWashington St
16.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUtah StWashington St
15.6%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
15.4%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
15.4%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StUtah St
15.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StTexas St
14.9%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StTexas St
13.6%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StUtah St
13.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
12.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StTexas St
11.5%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StUtah St
11.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StUtah St
11.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
11.1%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StSan Diego St
11.1%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUtah StWashington St
10.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas StUtah St
10.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StUtah St
8.9%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StOregon St
8.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
7.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StWashington St
7.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StTexas St
3.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StWashington St
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com