Colorado St

Colorado StateRams

2-0 T1st (0-0) in P12

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

10.4%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Colorado State's probability of making the PAC 12 Championship Game?

Colorado State has a 10.4% chance to reach the PAC 12 Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Colorado State's PAC 12 Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Colorado StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsWyomingWYO
W35-13
29/12
vsSouthern UtahSUU
W58-24
39/19
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:6%
49/26
@UT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:36%
510/03
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:55%
710/15
@Texas StTXST
Win prob:51%
810/24
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:44%
910/31
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:46%
1011/07
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:18%
1111/14
@Washington StWSU
Win prob:49%
1211/21
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:28%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0.1%
100.0%
6-1
1.7%
99.1%
5-2
8.5%
71.0%
4-3
21.3%
11.6%
3-4
30.5%
0.0%
2-5
24.9%
0%
1-6
10.9%
0%
0-7
2.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Colorado St CCG Opponents

if Colorado St makes the CCG

BOISBoise St
79.1%
FRESFresno St
8.8%
SDSUSan Diego St
7.1%
ORSTOregon St
2.5%
USUUtah St
1.0%
WSUWashington St
0.9%
TXSTTexas St
0.7%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StThis Week's Impact

Game
Colorado StCCG OddsAway Wins
Colorado StCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
North TexasUNT@Texas StTXST
10.4%
(-0.0%)		10.4%
(+0.0%)
DuquesneDUQ@Washington StWSU
10.4%
(+0.1%)		10.4%
(-0.0%)
Utah StUSU@UtahUTAH
10.6%
(+0.2%)		10.4%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@Colorado StCSU
10.4%
(-0.0%)		10.5%
(+0.1%)
James MadisonJMU@San Diego StSDSU
10.3%
(-0.1%)		10.4%
(+0.1%)
South DakotaSDAK@Boise StBOIS
10.5%
(+0.1%)		10.4%
(-0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@San Jose StSJSU
10.3%
(-0.0%)		10.4%
(+0.1%)
MontanaMONT@Oregon StORST
10.5%
(+0.1%)		10.4%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Colorado St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
99.9%
<0.1%
Boise St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno St
98.8%
<0.1%
San Diego St
92.9%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
93.4%
0.9%
BYUUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San AntonioUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon St
99.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StUT San Antonio
99.3%
<0.1%
BYUFresno St
99.0%
0.1%
BYUBoise St
98.8%
0.2%
Boise StUT San Antonio
98.1%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego St
97.9%
<0.1%
Texas StWashington St
96.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StUtah St
93.9%
<0.1%
Utah StWashington St
92.3%
<0.1%
Texas StUtah St
92.1%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah St
88.8%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas St
88.5%
<0.1%
Boise StWashington St
85.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWashington St
80.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
80.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas St
80.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas St
79.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StWashington St
79.2%
<0.1%
San Diego StWashington St
76.9%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
73.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon St
71.6%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas St
71.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
70.3%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon St
64.5%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno St
57.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
51.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego St
45.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
71.4%
4.8%
BYUUT San AntonioWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioUtah St
99.9%
0.1%
BYUTexas StUT San Antonio
99.9%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San Antonio
99.2%
0.4%
BYUOregon StUT San Antonio
99.1%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San Antonio
98.8%
0.2%
Texas StUT San AntonioWashington St
98.1%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San Antonio
97.2%
0.1%
BYUUtah StWashington St
95.1%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StWashington St
94.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
92.6%
<0.1%
UT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
92.3%
<0.1%
Texas StUT San AntonioUtah St
91.9%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUtah St
91.8%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUT San Antonio
90.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StWashington St
87.8%
0.2%
BYUBoise StTexas St
87.0%
0.2%
BYUOregon StTexas St
86.6%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioWashington St
86.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUtah St
86.2%
0.3%
Fresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
84.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
84.3%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StWashington St
84.2%
<0.1%
Boise StUT San AntonioUtah St
83.4%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StWashington St
83.3%
0.1%
BYUOregon StUtah St
81.8%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUtah St
81.7%
0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
81.0%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas St
79.9%
0.1%
Fresno StUT San AntonioUtah St
78.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
76.1%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StWashington St
75.7%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas St
74.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
73.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
70.2%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUT San Antonio
69.4%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
68.9%
<0.1%
San Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
68.7%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon St
67.1%
0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon St
65.8%
0.2%
Oregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
64.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
57.1%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego St
55.5%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno St
55.1%
0.6%
Boise StFresno StUT San Antonio
54.3%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego St
51.7%
0.2%
Boise StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
46.9%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego St
43.5%
0.3%
Boise StTexas StWashington St
39.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StWashington St
35.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWashington St
32.8%
<0.1%
Texas StUtah StWashington St
32.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StUtah StWashington St
25.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUtah St
24.1%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUtah St
23.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StTexas St
21.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StWashington St
19.2%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StWashington St
17.4%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StWashington St
17.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWashington St
17.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StTexas St
17.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWashington St
14.9%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUtah St
14.8%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWashington St
14.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUtah St
14.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StTexas St
12.9%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StTexas St
11.6%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWashington St
10.8%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUtah St
10.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUtah St
9.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StWashington St
8.8%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StTexas St
8.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUtah St
8.5%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon St
7.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUtah St
6.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StUtah St
5.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUtah St
5.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StWashington St
5.2%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego St
4.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StTexas St
4.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego St
4.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StWashington St
2.8%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego St
2.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
34.5%
13.2%
BYUTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
94.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
93.1%
0.1%
BYUUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
92.8%
0.1%
BYUBoise StUT San AntonioWashington St
87.4%
0.4%
BYUBoise StTexas StUT San Antonio
87.3%
0.4%
BYUBoise StUT San AntonioUtah St
85.3%
0.5%
BYUOregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
84.6%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
84.0%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
82.4%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
81.8%
0.2%
BYUFresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
81.7%
0.2%
BYUFresno StUT San AntonioUtah St
79.2%
0.3%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
74.1%
0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
73.6%
0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
73.0%
0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
69.5%
0.2%
BYUBoise StOregon StUT San Antonio
65.7%
0.3%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StUT San Antonio
55.1%
1.0%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
53.5%
0.3%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
46.9%
0.5%
Boise StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
31.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StWashington St
30.4%
0.2%
BYUTexas StUtah StWashington St
30.3%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
29.7%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StUtah StWashington St
28.6%
0.3%
Texas StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
26.7%
<0.1%
Boise StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
26.2%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StTexas StUtah St
25.4%
0.2%
BYUOregon StTexas StWashington St
23.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
21.8%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StTexas StUtah St
19.3%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
19.2%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StWashington St
17.1%
<0.1%
BYUSan Diego StTexas StUtah St
16.6%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
16.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
16.1%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StUtah StWashington St
16.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
15.9%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StTexas StUtah St
15.9%
0.1%
BYUSan Diego StUtah StWashington St
15.8%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
15.7%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StWashington St
15.6%
0.2%
BYUFresno StTexas StWashington St
15.5%
0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StTexas St
15.5%
0.2%
Boise StOregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
15.2%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StUtah StWashington St
15.0%
0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San AntonioWashington St
14.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StUtah St
14.2%
0.2%
Fresno StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
13.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StTexas StUT San Antonio
13.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
13.3%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StWashington St
12.6%
0.6%
Boise StFresno StUT San AntonioWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StTexas StUT San Antonio
11.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
11.6%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StTexas St
11.5%
0.5%
Fresno StOregon StUT San AntonioWashington St
11.1%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StUtah St
10.8%
0.7%
Boise StFresno StUT San AntonioUtah St
10.1%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StTexas St
10.0%
0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StWashington St
9.6%
0.3%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StWashington St
9.4%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StTexas St
9.3%
0.3%
San Diego StUT San AntonioUtah StWashington St
9.1%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StTexas StUT San Antonio
9.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
8.9%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StUtah St
8.8%
0.1%
BYUFresno StOregon StWashington St
8.7%
0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StUtah St
8.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
8.1%
<0.1%
San Diego StTexas StUT San AntonioUtah St
7.8%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
7.8%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StSan Diego StUtah St
7.5%
0.3%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
7.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUT San AntonioUtah St
7.2%
<0.1%
BYUOregon StSan Diego StTexas St
6.8%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StOregon St
5.7%
0.5%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StUtah St
5.5%
0.2%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StTexas St
5.2%
0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUT San AntonioUtah St
5.2%
<0.1%
BYUFresno StSan Diego StWashington St
5.1%
0.2%
Oregon StSan Diego StUT San AntonioWashington St
5.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon StUT San Antonio
4.7%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
4.0%
<0.1%
BYUBoise StOregon StSan Diego St
3.6%
0.2%
BYUFresno StOregon StSan Diego St
3.1%
0.1%
BYUBoise StFresno StSan Diego St
2.9%
0.7%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
2.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Diego StUT San Antonio
2.8%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Colorado StCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com