Washington

WashingtonHuskies

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Washington's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Washington has a 2.3% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Washington's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

WashingtonSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/06
vsWashington StWSU
Win prob:83%
9/12
vsUtah StUSU
Win prob:87%
9/19
vsEastern WashingtonEWU
Win prob:90%
9/26
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:76%
10/03
@USCUSC
Win prob:29%
10/09
vsIowaIOWA
Win prob:54%
10/16
@PurduePUR
Win prob:69%
10/31
@NebraskaNEB
Win prob:47%
11/07
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:47%
11/14
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:66%
11/21
vsIndianaIU
Win prob:26%
11/28
@OregonORE
Win prob:15%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.7%
92.0%
7-2
4.3%
35.6%
6-3
13.5%
1.0%
5-4
25.1%
0%
4-5
28.1%
0%
3-6
19.1%
0%
2-7
7.6%
0%
1-8
1.6%
0%
0-9
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Washington CCG Opponents

if Washington makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
45.4%
OregonOregon
27.1%
IndianaIndiana
17.4%
USCUSC
5.5%
Penn StatePenn St
4.6%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonThis Week's Impact

Game
WashingtonCCG OddsAway
WashingtonCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Washington CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
92.2%
0.5%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Purdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern Washington
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Minnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn St
94.4%
<0.1%
USC
93.8%
<0.1%
Oregon
90.8%
0.2%
Michigan St
89.5%
<0.1%
Indiana
84.9%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
39.2%
3.0%
Eastern WashingtonUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
PurdueWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUtah St
93.3%
<0.1%
OregonUtah St
92.3%
<0.1%
USCUtah St
91.7%
<0.1%
USCWashington St
90.9%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesota
90.0%
<0.1%
OregonWashington St
88.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndiana
80.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregon
78.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraska
70.0%
<0.1%
IowaUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaNebraska
65.4%
<0.1%
Michigan StUSC
64.9%
<0.1%
PurdueUSC
64.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdue
61.9%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn St
60.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraska
57.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSC
57.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
57.1%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
56.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StPenn St
55.6%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregon
47.4%
<0.1%
OregonPurdue
46.9%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon
46.5%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
46.4%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
46.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan St
45.5%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSC
42.3%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
41.2%
0.1%
Penn StUSC
37.2%
<0.1%
IowaOregon
36.8%
0.1%
NebraskaOregon
36.4%
0.2%
IndianaNebraska
35.1%
<0.1%
OregonPenn St
33.7%
0.2%
Penn StPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesota
26.1%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesota
22.2%
<0.1%
OregonUSC
22.1%
0.4%
IndianaUSC
21.6%
0.2%
IndianaOregon
20.1%
0.5%
Any 3 losses
10.6%
5.1%
IndianaPurdueWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaMichigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMinnesotaUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OregonUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdueUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StPenn StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesotaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMinnesotaNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdueWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
USCUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonUSCUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdueUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StUSC
83.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StUSCUtah St
80.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaPenn St
80.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaWashington St
80.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaUtah St
77.8%
<0.1%
Michigan StPenn StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdueWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUSCWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaNebraska
75.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdueUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaUSCWashington St
72.2%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaUSC
71.4%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaOregon
66.7%
<0.1%
PurdueUSCUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StPurdueUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StPurdueWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSCWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaIowa
60.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregon
56.5%
<0.1%
Penn StUSCUtah St
56.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonUtah St
55.6%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSCWashington St
54.5%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueUtah St
54.5%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonPurdue
54.5%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaUtah St
53.8%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StOregon
53.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn StUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaMichigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSCUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdueUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdueWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaMinnesota
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregonWashington St
46.2%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPurdueUSC
44.4%
<0.1%
IowaUSCUtah St
42.9%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StWashington St
42.9%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaPenn St
42.9%
<0.1%
IndianaUSCWashington St
42.5%
<0.1%
IowaOregonWashington St
40.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaUSC
37.5%
<0.1%
IndianaUSCUtah St
36.4%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StWashington St
35.6%
<0.1%
Penn StUSCWashington St
34.8%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdueWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StWashington St
30.8%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregonUtah St
30.0%
<0.1%
OregonUSCWashington St
29.9%
<0.1%
IndianaOregonUtah St
28.9%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaPurdue
27.3%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdueUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaUSC
24.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonWashington St
23.5%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonPenn St
23.5%
<0.1%
IowaOregonUtah St
23.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaWashington St
22.2%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaUtah St
21.4%
<0.1%
IndianaOregonWashington St
21.3%
0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaPurdue
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StUSCWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaNebraska
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StUtah St
18.2%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn StPurdue
16.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesotaPenn St
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StPurdue
16.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesotaUSC
15.4%
<0.1%
OregonUSCUtah St
14.5%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMinnesotaOregon
14.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StMinnesota
14.3%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StNebraska
14.3%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesotaNebraska
14.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonUSC
14.0%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaPurdue
12.5%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonUtah St
11.8%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaOregon
10.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StPurdue
10.0%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesotaUSC
9.1%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonPurdue
7.9%
<0.1%
IowaPurdueUSC
7.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaPurdue
6.1%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaUSC
6.1%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregonPurdue
5.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StPenn St
4.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesotaOregon
2.9%
<0.1%
IowaOregonPenn St
2.8%
0.2%
IowaNebraskaUSC
2.5%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdueUSC
2.2%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaOregon
2.1%
0.1%
OregonPenn StPurdue
2.0%
0.1%
IowaOregonPurdue
2.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StUSC
1.9%
0.1%
IowaMinnesotaOregon
1.9%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaUSC
1.6%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueUSC
1.5%
0.2%
MinnesotaOregonPenn St
1.5%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregonUSC
1.4%
0.1%
IowaNebraskaOregon
1.4%
0.1%
NebraskaOregonPenn St
1.4%
0.2%
Michigan StOregonUSC
1.4%
0.2%
IndianaIowaOregon
1.3%
0.4%
IowaMichigan StOregon
1.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StOregon
1.1%
0.3%
NebraskaOregonPurdue
1.1%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdueUSC
1.0%
0.1%
OregonPenn StUSC
0.6%
0.5%
IndianaMinnesotaOregon
0.6%
0.2%
IndianaIowaUSC
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
6.7%
1.0%
IowaNebraskaUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaPenn StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdueUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn StUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMinnesotaOregonUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUSCUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPurdueUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaUSCUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaNebraskaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSCUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn StUSCUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaPenn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonUtah StWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregonUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonPenn StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaUSCUtah StWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregonWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StPurdueUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSCUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaOregonWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaIowaWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueUtah StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaOregonUtah StWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaOregonUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdueUSCWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StUtah StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StPenn StUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonPenn StWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StOregonWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaNebraskaWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaUSCUtah StWashington St
30.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaUSCUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StPurdueWashington St
28.6%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonUSCWashington St
26.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaUSCWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaUtah StWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaUSCUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaMichigan StPurdue
25.0%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaPenn StUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaOregonUtah StWashington St
18.8%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaNebraskaWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StUSCUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StNebraskaUSC
16.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonPurdueWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaPenn StUtah St
12.5%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StUtah StWashington St
11.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaNebraskaUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StNebraskaWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StOregonWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StOregonUSC
7.1%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonPurdueUtah St
6.3%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaOregonUtah St
5.3%
<0.1%
IowaNebraskaUSCWashington St
5.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonPurdueWashington St
4.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonUSCUtah St
3.9%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaUSCUtah St
3.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaNebraskaOregon
3.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregonPenn St
3.6%
<0.1%
IowaOregonPenn StUtah St
3.2%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueUSCWashington St
2.9%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaNebraskaUSC
2.8%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueUSCUtah St
2.6%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaUSCWashington St
2.4%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StOregonWashington St
2.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregonUSC
1.8%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StUSCWashington St
1.8%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOregonUtah St
1.5%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonUSCWashington St
1.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaOregonWashington St
1.0%
0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com