Washington

WashingtonHuskies

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Washington's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Washington has a <0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Washington's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

WashingtonSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/06
vsWashington StWSU
W24-10
29/12
vsUtah StUSU
W16-14
39/19
vsEastern WashingtonEWU
Win prob:90%
49/26
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:79%
510/03
@USCUSC
Win prob:10%
610/09
vsIowaIOWA
Win prob:45%
710/16
@PurduePUR
Win prob:63%
910/31
@NebraskaNEB
Win prob:17%
1011/07
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:25%
1111/14
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:50%
1211/21
vsIndianaIU
Win prob:8%
1311/28
@OregonORE
Win prob:13%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
81.5%
7-2
0.3%
23.6%
6-3
2.2%
0.1%
5-4
9.7%
0%
4-5
23.8%
0%
3-6
32.2%
0%
2-7
23.0%
0%
1-8
7.9%
0%
0-9
1.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Washington CCG Opponents

if Washington makes the CCG

OSUOhio St
75.0%
IUIndiana
25.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonThis Week's Impact

Game
WashingtonCCG OddsAway Wins
WashingtonCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Sep 18
Portland StatePRST@OregonORE
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.2%
(+0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@IllinoisILL
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
USCUSC@RutgersRUTG
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@IowaIOWA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@WashingtonWASH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
North DakotaUND@NebraskaNEB
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NorthwesternNU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@Notre DameND
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
PurduePUR@UCLAUCLA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Washington CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
67.2%
<0.1%
Purdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon
93.5%
<0.1%
Nebraska
93.5%
<0.1%
Penn St
91.7%
<0.1%
USC
78.4%
<0.1%
Indiana
67.2%
<0.1%
Iowa
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
21.3%
0.3%
Eastern WashingtonIndiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraska
83.3%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan St
80.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdue
75.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregon
75.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraska
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaOregon
51.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesota
50.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUSC
47.1%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregon
46.8%
<0.1%
IowaNebraska
45.8%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregon
45.7%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
44.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon
44.4%
<0.1%
OregonPurdue
40.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSC
39.5%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSC
37.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StUSC
34.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
27.4%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
27.3%
<0.1%
OregonUSC
26.4%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdue
25.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn St
25.4%
<0.1%
Michigan StPenn St
23.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan St
19.6%
<0.1%
OregonPenn St
19.4%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraska
18.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesota
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaOregon
16.4%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
13.9%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
12.5%
<0.1%
Penn StUSC
11.9%
<0.1%
IndianaUSC
7.2%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
0.7%
0.2%
Eastern WashingtonIowaMichigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMichigan StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaMichigan St
57.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaUSC
42.9%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaOregon
40.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonPenn St
36.4%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonMinnesotaUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaMinnesota
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaUSC
30.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaNebraska
28.6%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaOregon
28.6%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonOregonUSC
28.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaOregon
19.4%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaIowa
11.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaUSC
8.9%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonPenn StUSC
7.7%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesotaUSC
7.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaPenn St
5.3%
<0.1%
IowaPurdueUSC
4.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StPurdue
2.9%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StPurdue
1.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonPenn St
1.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNebraskaPurdue
0.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StPenn St
0.6%
<0.1%
IowaOregonUSC
0.6%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaPenn St
0.6%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StOregon
0.6%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaUSC
0.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonNebraskaPurdueUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIowaNebraskaOregon
6.7%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonIndianaIowaNebraska
2.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com