Arizona

ArizonaWildcats

6-2 T4th (3-2) in B12

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

8.2%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Arizona's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?

Arizona has a 8.2% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Arizona's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Arizona need to do to reach the Big XII Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Arizona's Big XII Championship Game odds at 42.2%; even one more loss drops that to 1.0%.

What is the biggest game this week for Arizona's Big XII Championship Game odds?

Arizona's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating TCU would put its Big XII Championship Game odds at 10.8%, while a loss would drop them to 0.3%.

ArizonaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsNorthern ArizonaNAU
W35-7
29/12
@BYUBYU
L17-28
39/19
vsN IllinoisNIU
W42-17
49/26
@Washington StWSU
W34-24
510/03
vsCincinnatiCIN
W34-7
610/10
@West VirginiaWVU
W52-31
810/24
vsIowa StISU
W39-3
910/31
@Texas TechTTU
L26-34
1011/06
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:76%
1111/14
vsUtahUTAH
Win prob:40%
1211/21
@Kansas StKSU
Win prob:69%
1311/28
vsArizona StASU
Win prob:88%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-2
18.5%
42.2%
6-3
44.1%
0.9%
5-4
29.6%
0%
4-5
7.3%
0%
3-6
0.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Arizona CCG Opponents

if Arizona makes the CCG

UTAHUtah
36.9%
BYUBYU
35.1%
TTUTexas Tech
21.7%
HOUHouston
5.3%
BAYBaylor
0.5%
OKSTOklahoma St
0.4%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaThis Week's Impact

Game
ArizonaCCG OddsAway Wins
ArizonaCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
TCUTCU@ArizonaARIZ
0.3%
(-7.9%)		10.8%
(+2.6%)
Sat, Nov 7
BYUBYU@UtahUTAH
10.4%
(+2.2%)		7.2%
(-1.0%)
Iowa StISU@BaylorBAY
9.5%
(+1.3%)		8.0%
(-0.3%)
Oklahoma StOKST@Kansas StKSU
7.5%
(-0.7%)		9.3%
(+1.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@HoustonHOU
8.1%
(-0.1%)		8.3%
(+0.0%)
UCFUCF@KansasKU
8.2%
(-0.0%)		8.2%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Arizona StASU
7.4%
(-0.8%)		8.6%
(+0.4%)
West VirginiaWVU@Texas TechTTU
12.8%
(+4.6%)		7.9%
(-0.3%)

Best Winner Combination for Arizona

Arizona StArizona StateArizonaArizonaUCFUCFCincinnatiCincinnatiWest VirginiaWest VirginiaIowa StIowa StateKansas StKansas StateBYUBYU

CCG: 26.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Arizona

ArizonaArizona

CCG: 10.8% • Scenario: 75.5%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Arizona CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
42.2%
18.5%
Any 1 loss
1.0%
44.1%
Kansas St
1.8%
8.5%
Arizona St
1.4%
2.5%
TCU
1.3%
6.0%
Utah
0.6%
27.2%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com