IndianaHoosiers

4-0 T1st (1-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	W31-7
2	9/06	vsWestern IllinoisWIU	W77-3
3	9/14	@UCLAUCLA	W42-13
4	9/21	vsCharlotteCLT	W52-14
5	9/28	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:43%
6	10/05	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:64%
8	10/19	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:61%
9	10/26	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:34%
10	11/02	@Michigan StateMSU	Win prob:66%
11	11/09	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:18%
13	11/23	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:5%
14	11/30	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:85%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	96.2%
8-1	0.8%	65.4%
7-2	6.1%	7.4%
6-3	19.9%	0.0%
5-4	31.6%	0%
4-5	26.6%	0%
3-6	12.1%	0%
2-7	2.6%	0%
1-8	0.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

43.6%

30.7%

15.8%

8.9%

1.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MinnesotaMINN@MichiganMICH	1.2% (+0.1%)	1.0% (-0.0%)
IllinoisILL@Penn StatePSU	1.3% (+0.2%)	1.0% (-0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@USCUSC	0.9% (-0.1%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
MarylandMD@IndianaIU	0.3% (-0.8%)	2.0% (+1.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@Michigan StateMSU	1.0% (-0.0%)	1.5% (+0.5%)
OregonORE@UCLAUCLA	1.0% (-0.0%)	1.5% (+0.4%)
NebraskaNEB@PurduePUR	1.0% (+0.0%)	1.0% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@RutgersRUTG	1.0% (+0.0%)	1.0% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Wisconsin

Indiana

Michigan State

UCLA

Purdue

Rutgers

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Indiana

CCG: 2.0% • Scenario: 42.9%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

96.2%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

65.4%

0.8%

100.0%

<0.1%

92.3%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

85.4%

<0.1%

81.8%

<0.1%

77.1%

<0.1%

71.2%

0.1%

59.0%

0.5%

Any 2 losses

7.4%

6.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

34.6%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

29.5%

<0.1%

25.9%

<0.1%

25.5%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.7%

<0.1%

21.6%

<0.1%

19.3%

<0.1%

15.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.9%

0.3%

13.8%

0.2%

13.7%

<0.1%

12.0%

0.3%

10.8%

0.3%

10.0%

<0.1%

8.2%

0.3%

7.8%

0.7%

4.2%

1.0%

2.0%

2.4%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com