Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W49-0 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L7-66 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L21-38 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:27% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:18% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:18% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:4% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:37% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:1% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:5% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:31% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:15% |
Data from 2024-09-22
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0% | 33.3% |
| 6-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 0.6% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 3.8% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 14.1% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 30.2% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 34.8% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 16.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-22
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Michigan
Penn State
USC
Maryland
Ohio State
OregonPurdue
WashingtonCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 7.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MichiganPenn StateUSCMarylandOhio StateOregonPurdueWashingtonCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 7.3%
Data from 2024-09-22
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-22
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-22