WisconsinBadgers

2-1 T7th (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsWestern MichiganWMU	W28-14
2	9/07	vsSouth DakotaSDAK	W27-13
3	9/14	vsAlabamaALA	L10-42
5	9/28	@USCUSC	Win prob:17%
6	10/05	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:82%
7	10/12	@RutgersRUTG	Win prob:46%
8	10/19	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:59%
9	10/26	vsPenn StatePSU	Win prob:15%
10	11/02	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:32%
12	11/16	vsOregonORE	Win prob:11%
13	11/23	@NebraskaNEB	Win prob:40%
14	11/29	vsMinnesotaMINN	Win prob:65%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.1%	58.1%
7-2	1.3%	8.1%
6-3	6.3%	0.0%
5-4	18.0%	0%
4-5	29.0%	0%
3-6	27.1%	0%
2-7	14.1%	0%
1-8	3.7%	0%
0-9	0.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

55.6%

22.2%

16.7%

5.6%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MinnesotaMINN@MichiganMICH	0.4% (+0.3%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
IllinoisILL@Penn StatePSU	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@USCUSC	0.8% (+0.6%)	0.1% (-0.1%)
MarylandMD@IndianaIU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@Michigan StateMSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
OregonORE@UCLAUCLA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
NebraskaNEB@PurduePUR	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@RutgersRUTG	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Minnesota

Illinois

Wisconsin

UCLA

Rutgers

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Wisconsin

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 17.2%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

55.5%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

72.7%

<0.1%

72.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

8.5%

1.3%

62.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

36.4%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

27.8%

<0.1%

26.7%

<0.1%

20.5%

<0.1%

17.4%

<0.1%

17.4%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.6%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.1%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

6.9%

<0.1%

4.3%

0.2%

2.1%

0.1%

1.6%

<0.1%

0.8%

0.2%

Any 3 losses

6.0%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com