Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W13-6 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L20-26 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W31-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L5-24 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:31% | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:24% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:44% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:25% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:66% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:4% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:6% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:42% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0.0% | 5.0% |
| 6-3 | 0.5% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 3.6% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 13.5% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 28.1% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 32.1% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 18.3% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 3.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 5.5%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
8.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29