Louisville

LouisvilleCardinals

1-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

28.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

LouisvilleSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsEastern KentuckyEKU
W51-17
29/05
vsJames MadisonJMU
Win prob:68%
49/20
vsBowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:85%
59/27
@PittsburghPITT
Win prob:74%
610/04
vsVirginiaUVA
Win prob:80%
810/17
@Miami FLMIA
Win prob:37%
910/25
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:81%
1011/01
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:61%
1111/08
vsCaliforniaCAL
Win prob:77%
1211/14
vsClemsonCLEM
Win prob:60%
1311/22
@SMUSMU
Win prob:41%
1411/29
vsKentuckyUK
Win prob:81%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
2.1%
100.0%
7-1
11.4%
98.7%
6-2
25.5%
55.2%
5-3
29.9%
2.6%
4-4
20.5%
0%
3-5
8.3%
0%
2-6
2.0%
0%
1-7
0.2%
0%
0-8
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Louisville CCG Opponents

if Louisville makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
36.2%
SMUSMU
26.5%
ClemsonClemson
24.5%
Georgia TechGeorgia Tech
6.7%
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
6.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleThis Week's Impact

Game
LouisvilleCCG OddsAway
LouisvilleCCG OddsHome
East Texas A&METAM@Florida StFSU
28.5%
(+0.4%)		28.1%
(-0.0%)
Bethune-CookmanBCU@Miami FLMIA
28.1%
(-0.0%)		28.2%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@BYUBYU
27.7%
(-0.4%)		28.2%
(+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@SMUSMU
28.4%
(+0.2%)		28.1%
(-0.1%)
TroyTROY@ClemsonCLEM
28.0%
(-0.2%)		28.2%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@CharlotteCLT
28.2%
(-0.0%)		28.2%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@LouisvilleLOU
28.2%
(+0.1%)		28.1%
(-0.0%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE
28.1%
(-0.1%)		28.3%
(+0.1%)
UConnCONN@SyracuseSYR
28.3%
(+0.1%)		28.1%
(-0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
28.4%
(+0.3%)		28.0%
(-0.1%)
Western CarolinaWCU@Wake ForestWAKE
27.5%
(-0.7%)		28.2%
(+0.1%)
Texas SouthernTXSO@CaliforniaCAL
27.8%
(-0.4%)		28.2%
(+0.1%)
VirginiaUVA@NC StateNCSU
28.4%
(+0.2%)		28.0%
(-0.1%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StMSU
28.3%
(+0.1%)		28.0%
(-0.2%)
Gardner-WebbGWEB@Georgia TechGT
28.9%
(+0.7%)		28.1%
(-0.1%)
C MichiganCMU@PittsburghPITT
28.7%
(+0.5%)		28.1%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisville CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
1.0%
Any 1 loss
98.8%
6.3%
Kentucky
100.0%
0.2%
Boston College
100.0%
0.2%
Bowling Green
100.0%
0.2%
James Madison
100.0%
0.4%
California
100.0%
0.3%
Pittsburgh
99.7%
0.4%
Virginia
99.6%
0.3%
Virginia Tech
98.9%
0.7%
SMU
98.6%
1.5%
Miami FL
97.9%
1.6%
Clemson
97.8%
0.6%
Any 2 losses
67.2%
16.8%
Boston CollegeKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburgh
100.0%
0.1%
CaliforniaJames Madison
100.0%
0.1%
Bowling GreenClemson
100.0%
0.1%
Bowling GreenCalifornia
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonVirginia
100.0%
0.1%
Bowling GreenJames Madison
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenVirginia Tech
100.0%
0.1%
Bowling GreenKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FL
99.6%
0.3%
James MadisonVirginia Tech
99.2%
0.3%
Boston CollegeJames Madison
99.1%
0.1%
KentuckySMU
99.0%
0.3%
KentuckyMiami FL
98.9%
0.4%
KentuckyVirginia Tech
98.5%
0.1%
Bowling GreenSMU
98.4%
0.3%
James MadisonSMU
98.2%
0.7%
James MadisonMiami FL
98.0%
0.8%
ClemsonKentucky
98.0%
0.1%
ClemsonJames Madison
97.2%
0.3%
CaliforniaPittsburgh
80.6%
0.1%
PittsburghVirginia Tech
76.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegePittsburgh
76.5%
<0.1%
PittsburghVirginia
73.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeVirginia
72.6%
<0.1%
VirginiaVirginia Tech
72.6%
0.2%
Boston CollegeCalifornia
70.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia Tech
68.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeVirginia Tech
68.1%
0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia
67.9%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMU
67.3%
0.5%
Miami FLPittsburgh
67.0%
0.5%
SMUVirginia
66.0%
0.4%
Miami FLVirginia
62.2%
0.4%
Boston CollegeSMU
61.9%
0.3%
Boston CollegeMiami FL
61.3%
0.4%
Miami FLVirginia Tech
59.8%
1.1%
SMUVirginia Tech
59.8%
0.9%
ClemsonVirginia
59.1%
0.2%
CaliforniaMiami FL
58.4%
0.5%
ClemsonVirginia Tech
57.3%
0.4%
ClemsonPittsburgh
56.9%
0.2%
CaliforniaSMU
55.6%
0.4%
CaliforniaClemson
53.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemson
53.1%
0.2%
Miami FLSMU
42.5%
2.3%
ClemsonMiami FL
40.2%
1.1%
ClemsonSMU
37.8%
1.0%
Any 3 losses
29.0%
25.7%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames Madison
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames Madison
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentucky
98.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyMiami FL
98.3%
0.2%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonVirginia Tech
98.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckySMU
98.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FL
97.4%
0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonSMU
97.3%
0.1%
James MadisonKentuckySMU
97.3%
0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonPittsburgh
96.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames Madison
96.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyVirginiaVirginia Tech
92.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyVirginia
84.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyPittsburgh
84.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaKentucky
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames Madison
82.8%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburghVirginia Tech
82.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaVirginia Tech
81.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyVirginia
81.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburghVirginia
77.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenCalifornia
77.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburghSMU
76.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonVirginia Tech
75.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburgh
74.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyVirginia Tech
73.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburghVirginia Tech
73.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburghVirginia
73.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenVirginia Tech
73.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenVirginiaVirginia Tech
72.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonVirginia
71.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySMUVirginia
70.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonPittsburgh
70.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSMUVirginia
69.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyPittsburgh
69.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonVirginia Tech
69.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenPittsburgh
69.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaSMU
68.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaPittsburgh
68.2%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburghSMU
68.0%
0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyVirginia Tech
67.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenMiami FL
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLPittsburgh
65.3%
0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckySMU
65.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonSMU
64.8%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentucky
64.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLVirginia
64.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonMiami FL
64.6%
0.2%
CaliforniaClemsonKentucky
64.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburghSMU
63.8%
0.2%
KentuckyPittsburghVirginia
63.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonVirginia Tech
63.0%
0.2%
James MadisonMiami FLPittsburgh
62.9%
0.3%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
62.7%
0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenSMU
62.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburghVirginia Tech
62.2%
<0.1%
James MadisonSMUVirginia Tech
62.2%
0.4%
Boston CollegeKentuckySMU
61.8%
<0.1%
KentuckySMUVirginia Tech
61.8%
0.2%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaVirginia
61.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSMUVirginia Tech
61.2%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FL
60.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonSMUVirginia
60.2%
0.2%
KentuckyMiami FLVirginia
59.8%
0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonVirginia
59.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FL
59.7%
0.2%
James MadisonVirginiaVirginia Tech
59.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonVirginia
59.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyMiami FL
59.1%
0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonSMU
59.0%
0.2%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaMiami FL
58.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonJames Madison
58.8%
0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonPittsburgh
58.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburgh
57.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLVirginia Tech
57.2%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemsonJames Madison
57.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLVirginia Tech
56.8%
0.5%
Bowling GreenClemsonVirginia Tech
56.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyVirginia Tech
56.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenClemson
56.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
56.0%
0.2%
ClemsonJames MadisonPittsburgh
55.1%
0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonVirginia
53.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLVirginia
52.8%
0.2%
ClemsonKentuckyVirginia
52.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonMiami FL
50.0%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckySMU
46.5%
0.2%
James MadisonMiami FLSMU
44.1%
1.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonSMU
44.1%
0.4%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaClemson
43.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLSMU
42.6%
0.4%
KentuckyMiami FLSMU
42.3%
0.5%
ClemsonJames MadisonMiami FL
40.7%
0.5%
Bowling GreenClemsonSMU
40.4%
0.2%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
38.7%
0.2%
CaliforniaPittsburghSMU
9.5%
0.1%
ClemsonVirginiaVirginia Tech
7.7%
0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaVirginia Tech
7.1%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUVirginia
6.7%
0.1%
PittsburghVirginiaVirginia Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegePittsburghVirginia Tech
6.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLPittsburgh
6.1%
0.2%
Boston CollegeSMUVirginia Tech
6.0%
0.2%
ClemsonPittsburghVirginia Tech
5.9%
0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLPittsburgh
5.1%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonVirginia
4.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghVirginia Tech
4.7%
0.3%
Boston CollegeMiami FLVirginia Tech
4.5%
0.2%
CaliforniaPittsburghVirginia Tech
4.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonVirginia
4.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaPittsburghVirginia
4.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonPittsburgh
4.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLVirginia
4.0%
0.1%
Miami FLVirginiaVirginia Tech
3.7%
0.3%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaSMU
3.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghVirginia
3.2%
0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonVirginia Tech
3.2%
0.1%
CaliforniaSMUVirginia Tech
3.1%
0.3%
Boston CollegeClemsonVirginia Tech
3.0%
0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonPittsburgh
3.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLVirginia
3.0%
0.3%
Miami FLPittsburghSMU
3.0%
0.8%
SMUVirginiaVirginia Tech
2.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaMiami FL
2.8%
0.1%
ClemsonPittsburghSMU
2.6%
0.3%
ClemsonMiami FLPittsburgh
2.5%
0.4%
PittsburghSMUVirginia Tech
2.4%
0.3%
ClemsonSMUVirginia Tech
2.3%
0.6%
Boston CollegeMiami FLSMU
2.3%
0.6%
Boston CollegeClemsonMiami FL
2.2%
0.2%
Boston CollegeVirginiaVirginia Tech
2.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLVirginia Tech
2.1%
0.7%
CaliforniaClemsonMiami FL
1.9%
0.3%
Boston CollegePittsburghSMU
1.9%
0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLSMU
1.7%
0.7%
CaliforniaMiami FLVirginia
1.6%
0.1%
Miami FLSMUVirginia Tech
1.5%
1.5%
CaliforniaMiami FLVirginia Tech
1.5%
0.3%
Boston CollegeSMUVirginia
1.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonSMU
1.3%
0.3%
ClemsonSMUVirginia
1.3%
0.2%
Miami FLSMUVirginia
1.2%
0.6%
ClemsonMiami FLSMU
1.0%
1.5%
Boston CollegeClemsonSMU
1.0%
0.2%
CaliforniaSMUVirginia
0.8%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
14.4%
14.0%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentuckySMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentuckyPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonKentuckyMiami FL
97.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonKentucky
95.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia Tech
92.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaClemsonKentucky
87.5%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyPittsburghVirginia Tech
84.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentuckySMU
84.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia
83.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenCaliforniaJames Madison
83.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyVirginiaVirginia Tech
81.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyPittsburghVirginia
80.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentuckyVirginia
80.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyPittsburghVirginia
80.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyPittsburghSMU
76.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FLPittsburgh
75.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia Tech
73.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonVirginia Tech
73.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentuckyPittsburgh
70.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonPittsburghSMU
69.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentuckySMU
69.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonVirginia
69.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentuckySMU
68.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia Tech
67.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia Tech
67.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentuckyPittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentuckyVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyPittsburghVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonPittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
65.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyPittsburghSMU
65.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
65.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonSMUVirginia
64.5%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyMiami FLVirginia
64.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckySMUVirginia Tech
63.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia
63.5%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
63.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonJames MadisonKentucky
63.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FL
62.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyVirginiaVirginia Tech
62.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckySMUVirginia Tech
62.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonJames MadisonKentucky
61.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
61.4%
0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonVirginia Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentuckyVirginia Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentuckyPittsburgh
60.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenClemsonKentucky
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonSMUVirginia Tech
59.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckySMUVirginia
59.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentuckyMiami FL
59.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonPittsburgh
57.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonVirginiaVirginia Tech
55.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames MadisonKentucky
54.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentuckyMiami FL
54.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonKentuckyMiami FL
53.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentuckySMU
52.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckyMiami FLVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentuckyPittsburgh
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKentuckySMUVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaKentuckyMiami FL
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKentuckyMiami FLSMU
48.3%
0.2%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FL
46.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaJames MadisonVirginia Tech
46.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonMiami FL
45.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentuckyVirginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenKentuckyVirginia Tech
42.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenJames MadisonMiami FLSMU
42.4%
0.2%
Bowling GreenKentuckyMiami FLSMU
40.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenJames MadisonVirginia
40.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
37.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentuckyMiami FL
37.1%
0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenClemsonJames Madison
36.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonKentuckySMU
35.4%
0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonKentuckyPittsburgh
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentuckySMU
33.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenVirginiaVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaClemsonJames Madison
33.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenPittsburghVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonJames MadisonSMU
32.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonKentuckyPittsburgh
28.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenClemsonVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonVirginiaVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaPittsburghVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
15.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonPittsburghVirginia
15.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaPittsburghSMU
15.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia
14.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburghVirginia
12.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonVirginiaVirginia Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLVirginia
12.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckySMUVirginia
11.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenClemsonPittsburgh
11.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburghSMUVirginia
11.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburghVirginiaVirginia Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia Tech
10.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyPittsburghSMU
10.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaClemsonPittsburgh
10.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenPittsburghSMU
10.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenMiami FLPittsburgh
9.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaVirginiaVirginia Tech
9.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaKentuckyMiami FL
8.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyPittsburghVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaClemsonKentucky
8.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames MadisonSMU
7.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckySMUVirginia Tech
7.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia
7.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonSMUVirginia
7.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenPittsburghSMUVirginia Tech
7.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonKentuckyVirginia
7.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburgh
7.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburghSMUVirginia Tech
6.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonPittsburghSMU
6.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSMUVirginiaVirginia Tech
6.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames MadisonVirginia Tech
6.3%
<0.1%
KentuckySMUVirginiaVirginia Tech
6.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLVirginiaVirginia Tech
6.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonVirginiaVirginia Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyVirginiaVirginia Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia Tech
5.4%
0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaMiami FLVirginia
5.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLPittsburghVirginia Tech
5.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonSMUVirginia
5.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonPittsburghVirginia Tech
5.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia
4.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
4.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonSMUVirginia Tech
4.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FLPittsburgh
4.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburghVirginia Tech
4.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyVirginia Tech
4.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburghSMUVirginia Tech
4.3%
0.1%
James MadisonSMUVirginiaVirginia Tech
4.2%
0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonPittsburghVirginia
4.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonSMUVirginia Tech
4.1%
0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonMiami FLPittsburgh
4.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSMUVirginia Tech
4.0%
0.4%
Bowling GreenPittsburghSMUVirginia
3.9%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburghSMU
3.8%
0.2%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenMiami FLVirginia Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonJames MadisonVirginia
3.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonPittsburghVirginiaVirginia Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaSMUVirginia Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonSMUVirginia Tech
3.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonJames MadisonPittsburgh
3.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
3.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburghVirginia Tech
3.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLVirginia
3.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonPittsburghSMU
3.2%
0.2%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia Tech
3.1%
0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonJames MadisonSMU
3.1%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
3.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLPittsburghSMU
2.9%
0.4%
CaliforniaClemsonKentuckyVirginia Tech
2.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
2.9%
0.2%
CaliforniaKentuckyMiami FLVirginia Tech
2.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenSMUVirginia Tech
2.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonSMUVirginia
2.8%
0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonJames MadisonMiami FL
2.6%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckySMU
2.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenClemsonMiami FLPittsburgh
2.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonPittsburghSMU
2.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
2.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonMiami FLPittsburgh
2.3%
0.2%
James MadisonMiami FLVirginiaVirginia Tech
2.2%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckySMUVirginia Tech
2.2%
<0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLSMUVirginia Tech
2.2%
0.7%
Bowling GreenMiami FLSMUVirginia Tech
2.2%
0.3%
Boston CollegeBowling GreenMiami FLSMU
2.1%
0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia Tech
1.9%
0.3%
CaliforniaClemsonJames MadisonVirginia Tech
1.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FL
1.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLPittsburghVirginia Tech
1.9%
0.2%
ClemsonKentuckySMUVirginia
1.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLSMUVirginia
1.8%
0.1%
James MadisonMiami FLSMUVirginia
1.8%
0.3%
James MadisonMiami FLPittsburghVirginia
1.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonMiami FLVirginia
1.7%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonJames MadisonMiami FL
1.7%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLSMU
1.6%
0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLVirginiaVirginia Tech
1.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonJames MadisonMiami FLSMU
1.6%
0.7%
Bowling GreenClemsonMiami FLSMU
1.5%
0.3%
ClemsonKentuckySMUVirginia Tech
1.5%
0.1%
CaliforniaJames MadisonPittsburghSMU
1.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSMUVirginia
1.4%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburghSMU
1.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami FLPittsburghSMU
1.3%
0.1%
Boston CollegeJames MadisonMiami FLSMU
1.2%
0.3%
CaliforniaJames MadisonMiami FLSMU
1.1%
0.4%
CaliforniaClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
1.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaKentuckyMiami FLSMU
1.1%
0.2%
ClemsonJames MadisonSMUVirginia Tech
1.0%
0.3%
Bowling GreenCaliforniaMiami FLSMU
0.9%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLSMU
0.9%
0.3%
Bowling GreenClemsonMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.8%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com