Illinois

IllinoisFighting Illini

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

IllinoisSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
vsWestern IllinoisWIU
W52-3
29/06
@DukeDUKE
Win prob:50%
39/13
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:87%
49/20
@IndianaIU
Win prob:17%
59/27
vsUSCUSC
Win prob:23%
610/04
@PurduePUR
Win prob:79%
710/11
vsOhio StOSU
Win prob:12%
910/25
@WashingtonWASH
Win prob:39%
1011/01
vsRutgersRUTG
Win prob:65%
1211/15
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:67%
1311/22
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:43%
1411/29
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:79%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IllinoisRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.4%
69.8%
7-2
3.3%
8.3%
6-3
12.6%
0%
5-4
25.6%
0%
4-5
29.6%
0%
3-6
19.8%
0%
2-7
7.2%
0%
1-8
1.3%
0%
0-9
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Illinois CCG Opponents

if Illinois makes the CCG

Penn StatePenn St
46.6%
Ohio StateOhio St
27.6%
USCUSC
10.3%
OregonOregon
10.3%
IndianaIndiana
5.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IllinoisThis Week's Impact

Game
IllinoisCCG OddsAway
IllinoisCCG OddsHome
KennesawKENN@IndianaIU
0.8%
(+0.2%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@Penn StPSU
0.5%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.1%)
Ga SouthernGASO@USCUSC
0.5%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
UC DavisUCD@WashingtonWASH
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
AkronAKR@NebraskaNEB
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@Iowa StISU
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(-0.1%)
Miami OHM-OH@RutgersRUTG
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@MarylandMD
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@PurduePUR
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@OregonORE
0.8%
(+0.2%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@MinnesotaMINN
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
GramblingGRAM@Ohio StOSU
0.5%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@NorthwesternNU
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StMSU
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
MTSUMTSU@WisconsinWIS
0.5%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@UNLVUNLV
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IllinoisLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Illinois CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
71.4%
0.2%
Duke
100.0%
<0.1%
W Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Maryland
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington
94.1%
<0.1%
Rutgers
80.0%
<0.1%
Indiana
75.0%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern
75.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
60.0%
<0.1%
USC
59.3%
<0.1%
Purdue
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
15.9%
1.6%
PurdueW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
W MichiganWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorthwestern
100.0%
<0.1%
W MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeWisconsin
92.3%
<0.1%
DukeWashington
90.9%
<0.1%
DukeIndiana
69.4%
<0.1%
USCW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
DukeUSC
62.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StW Michigan
62.5%
<0.1%
IndianaW Michigan
62.5%
<0.1%
DukeOhio St
61.3%
<0.1%
DukePurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNorthwestern
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternWashington
40.0%
<0.1%
PurdueWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
WashingtonWisconsin
30.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMaryland
26.7%
<0.1%
MarylandWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandWashington
22.2%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio St
21.6%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdue
20.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdue
19.1%
<0.1%
IndianaWisconsin
19.0%
<0.1%
RutgersWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaRutgers
12.5%
<0.1%
USCWashington
12.0%
<0.1%
MarylandUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
USCWisconsin
10.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StRutgers
10.5%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington
9.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StWisconsin
8.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StWashington
7.0%
0.1%
IndianaOhio St
5.3%
0.3%
RutgersUSC
5.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUSC
4.7%
0.1%
NorthwesternOhio St
4.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StUSC
3.5%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
9.7%
1.5%
DukeW MichiganWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorthwesternW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
DukePurdueW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeUSCW Michigan
83.3%
<0.1%
IndianaRutgersW Michigan
75.0%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorthwesternW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
PurdueW MichiganWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandWashington
37.5%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
DukePurdueWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandWisconsin
28.6%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandNorthwestern
25.0%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaNorthwestern
25.0%
<0.1%
DukeRutgersWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorthwesternWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaW MichiganWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
DukeRutgersUSC
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaW MichiganWashington
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaRutgers
14.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StW Michigan
14.3%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaMaryland
13.8%
<0.1%
DukeUSCWashington
12.9%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StWisconsin
10.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StW MichiganWashington
10.0%
<0.1%
DukeUSCWisconsin
9.7%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaPurdue
9.1%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaUSC
8.6%
0.1%
DukeNorthwesternOhio St
8.3%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandUSC
7.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StW MichiganWisconsin
6.7%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StRutgers
6.7%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandOhio St
6.3%
<0.1%
DukeWashingtonWisconsin
5.9%
<0.1%
IndianaOhio StW Michigan
5.6%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StWashington
5.4%
0.1%
DukeIndianaOhio St
4.6%
0.3%
IndianaUSCW Michigan
4.2%
<0.1%
Ohio StUSCW Michigan
3.6%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaWisconsin
2.9%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StUSC
2.4%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
13.0%
<0.1%
DukeMarylandW MichiganWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
DukePurdueUSCW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorthwesternUSCW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaMarylandW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaRutgersW Michigan
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeOhio StW MichiganWashington
15.0%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaUSCW Michigan
12.9%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaW MichiganWashington
10.0%
<0.1%
DukeIndianaW MichiganWisconsin
8.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IllinoisCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com