Virginia

VirginiaCavaliers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

8.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

VirginiaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsCoastal CarCCU
W48-7
29/06
@NC StateNCSU
Win prob:44%
39/13
vsWilliam & MaryW&M
Win prob:90%
49/20
vsStanfordSTAN
Win prob:84%
59/26
vsFlorida StFSU
Win prob:64%
610/04
@LouisvilleLOU
Win prob:20%
810/18
vsWashington StWSU
Win prob:58%
910/25
@North CarolinaUNC
Win prob:57%
1011/01
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:38%
1111/08
vsWake ForestWAKE
Win prob:74%
1211/15
@DukeDUKE
Win prob:41%
1411/29
vsVirginia TechVT
Win prob:50%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.1%
100.0%
8-1
1.8%
99.3%
7-2
7.9%
73.5%
6-3
19.3%
5.4%
5-4
27.5%
0%
4-5
24.8%
0%
3-6
13.4%
0%
2-7
4.4%
0%
1-8
0.7%
0%
0-9
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Virginia CCG Opponents

if Virginia makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
33.8%
SMUSMU
25.0%
ClemsonClemson
20.1%
LouisvilleLouisville
15.9%
Georgia TechGeorgia Tech
5.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaThis Week's Impact

Game
VirginiaCCG OddsAway
VirginiaCCG OddsHome
East Texas A&METAM@Florida StFSU
8.3%
(-0.5%)		8.8%
(+0.1%)
Bethune-CookmanBCU@Miami FLMIA
9.4%
(+0.6%)		8.7%
(-0.1%)
StanfordSTAN@BYUBYU
8.8%
(-0.0%)		8.8%
(+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@SMUSMU
8.8%
(-0.0%)		8.8%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@ClemsonCLEM
8.7%
(-0.1%)		8.8%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@CharlotteCLT
8.8%
(+0.1%)		8.6%
(-0.1%)
James MadisonJMU@LouisvilleLOU
8.7%
(-0.1%)		8.8%
(+0.1%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE
8.8%
(+0.0%)		8.8%
(-0.0%)
UConnCONN@SyracuseSYR
8.7%
(-0.1%)		8.8%
(+0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
8.6%
(-0.2%)		8.9%
(+0.1%)
Western CarolinaWCU@Wake ForestWAKE
9.1%
(+0.3%)		8.8%
(-0.0%)
Texas SouthernTXSO@CaliforniaCAL
9.2%
(+0.4%)		8.7%
(-0.1%)
VirginiaUVA@NC StateNCSU
15.4%
(+6.7%)		3.5%
(-5.3%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StMSU
8.9%
(+0.2%)		8.6%
(-0.2%)
Gardner-WebbGWEB@Georgia TechGT
8.4%
(-0.4%)		8.8%
(+0.1%)
C MichiganCMU@PittsburghPITT
8.8%
(-0.0%)		8.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Virginia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
99.6%
1.0%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Duke
100.0%
0.1%
Florida St
100.0%
<0.1%
NC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
North Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
William & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Stanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisville
99.7%
0.3%
California
97.8%
0.1%
Any 2 losses
77.2%
4.9%
NC StateWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWashington St
100.0%
0.1%
DukeWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake ForestWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateWashington St
98.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWashington St
98.8%
0.2%
North CarolinaWashington St
97.9%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWashington St
95.0%
<0.1%
Florida StWake Forest
94.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWake Forest
91.9%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida St
89.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanford
86.2%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia Tech
85.7%
<0.1%
StanfordWake Forest
83.3%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia Tech
83.0%
<0.1%
DukeWake Forest
82.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida St
82.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth Carolina
79.1%
<0.1%
DukeStanford
78.3%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth Carolina
77.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWake Forest
77.1%
0.1%
Florida StNC State
76.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanford
75.4%
<0.1%
DukeNC State
75.2%
0.1%
CaliforniaNC State
74.3%
0.2%
CaliforniaNorth Carolina
73.6%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisville
73.4%
0.2%
NC StateStanford
73.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDuke
73.0%
0.2%
LouisvilleNorth Carolina
73.0%
0.2%
Florida StVirginia Tech
72.5%
<0.1%
North CarolinaWake Forest
72.4%
<0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia Tech
72.1%
0.3%
DukeLouisville
72.0%
0.5%
DukeVirginia Tech
71.7%
0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia Tech
71.3%
0.1%
DukeNorth Carolina
70.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC State
69.4%
0.4%
Virginia TechWake Forest
69.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisville
68.7%
0.5%
Florida StStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StateWake Forest
65.7%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia Tech
65.3%
0.1%
North CarolinaStanford
60.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
23.5%
13.3%
North CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaStanfordWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StStanfordWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateStanfordWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWake ForestWashington St
91.3%
<0.1%
North CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
90.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeWilliam & Mary
90.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWake ForestWilliam & Mary
90.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordWilliam & Mary
90.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWashington St
89.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWake ForestWilliam & Mary
88.2%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
87.5%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
87.5%
<0.1%
Florida StVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
85.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaWashington St
84.9%
<0.1%
NC StateWake ForestWashington St
82.8%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaWashington St
82.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StWashington St
81.7%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StWashington St
81.5%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
81.3%
<0.1%
NC StateStanfordWashington St
81.3%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaWashington St
80.6%
<0.1%
Florida StWake ForestWashington St
80.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaStanfordWashington St
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWake ForestWashington St
79.3%
<0.1%
DukeStanfordWashington St
79.0%
<0.1%
DukeWake ForestWashington St
78.6%
<0.1%
Florida StVirginia TechWashington St
78.1%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia TechWashington St
77.8%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
77.8%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleWashington St
76.1%
0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia TechWashington St
76.1%
0.2%
CaliforniaVirginia TechWashington St
75.3%
<0.1%
DukeWake ForestWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleWashington St
74.4%
0.4%
DukeVirginia TechWashington St
74.4%
<0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
73.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
73.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateWilliam & Mary
72.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWashington St
71.9%
0.4%
CaliforniaNC StateWashington St
71.8%
0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordWashington St
71.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeWashington St
70.7%
0.2%
NC StateNorth CarolinaWashington St
70.2%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaWashington St
70.0%
0.2%
DukeNC StateWashington St
69.6%
0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateWashington St
69.6%
0.3%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWilliam & Mary
68.8%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateWashington St
68.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateWilliam & Mary
66.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StateWake ForestWilliam & Mary
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida StStanfordWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleWilliam & Mary
64.3%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia TechWashington St
64.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
62.5%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
62.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWake ForestWashington St
61.8%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StWilliam & Mary
60.0%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
60.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleWilliam & Mary
59.5%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateWilliam & Mary
58.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeStanfordWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StWilliam & Mary
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida StVirginia TechWake Forest
27.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaStanford
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWake Forest
20.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaStanford
18.8%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateWake Forest
18.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia TechWake Forest
17.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaStanford
14.3%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateWake Forest
13.2%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia TechWake Forest
13.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaWake Forest
12.8%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateStanford
12.5%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StStanford
12.5%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StVirginia Tech
11.5%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia TechWake Forest
10.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeStanford
10.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaWake Forest
10.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeFlorida St
9.9%
0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordWake Forest
9.5%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleWake Forest
9.5%
<0.1%
Florida StStanfordVirginia Tech
9.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StNorth Carolina
8.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StVirginia Tech
8.5%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
North CarolinaStanfordVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaWake Forest
8.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
7.9%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateNorth Carolina
7.8%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleNorth Carolina
7.7%
0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNorth Carolina
7.5%
0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNorth Carolina
7.3%
0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
7.2%
0.3%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaWake Forest
7.1%
0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StLouisville
7.0%
0.3%
NC StateNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
6.9%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateNorth Carolina
6.9%
0.1%
DukeFlorida StNorth Carolina
6.8%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StNC State
6.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaStanford
6.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordVirginia Tech
6.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateStanford
6.5%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StWake Forest
6.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
5.7%
0.1%
DukeStanfordVirginia Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleStanford
5.6%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleVirginia Tech
5.5%
0.5%
CaliforniaDukeVirginia Tech
5.5%
0.2%
LouisvilleNC StateNorth Carolina
5.4%
0.3%
LouisvilleNC StateWake Forest
5.3%
0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNC State
5.1%
0.3%
LouisvilleNC StateStanford
5.1%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNorth Carolina
5.0%
0.4%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWake Forest
5.0%
0.2%
CaliforniaDukeWake Forest
4.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateVirginia Tech
4.8%
0.4%
CaliforniaDukeLouisville
4.5%
0.8%
CaliforniaLouisvilleStanford
4.5%
0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StNC State
4.5%
0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleVirginia Tech
4.5%
0.5%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNC State
4.5%
0.7%
CaliforniaNC StateWake Forest
4.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateVirginia Tech
4.1%
0.2%
DukeLouisvilleStanford
4.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNorth Carolina
4.1%
0.4%
DukeFlorida StLouisville
3.9%
0.3%
Florida StLouisvilleNC State
3.7%
0.2%
NC StateStanfordVirginia Tech
3.5%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNC State
3.4%
0.6%
DukeLouisvilleWake Forest
3.4%
0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia TechWake Forest
3.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StWake Forest
3.2%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateVirginia Tech
3.1%
0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleVirginia Tech
3.0%
0.2%
DukeNorth CarolinaWake Forest
2.9%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateVirginia Tech
1.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
8.2%
8.3%
DukeWake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleWake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
StanfordWake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaWake ForestWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaStanfordWake ForestWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeStanfordWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateStanfordWashington StWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaStanfordWake ForestWilliam & Mary
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StWashington StWilliam & Mary
90.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
88.2%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateWashington StWilliam & Mary
85.7%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
83.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateWashington StWilliam & Mary
77.8%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
76.9%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
75.0%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
73.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeWashington StWilliam & Mary
72.2%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateWashington StWilliam & Mary
71.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWashington StWilliam & Mary
70.5%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleWashington StWilliam & Mary
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaWashington StWilliam & Mary
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateWashington StWilliam & Mary
65.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
62.5%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StWashington StWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateStanfordWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StVirginia TechWashington StWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia TechWake ForestWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWake ForestWilliam & Mary
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeStanfordWilliam & Mary
33.3%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
NC StateStanfordWake ForestWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
22.2%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordWake ForestWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateWake ForestWilliam & Mary
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleStanfordWilliam & Mary
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordWake ForestWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeStanfordWashington St
18.5%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
17.6%
<0.1%
DukeStanfordVirginia TechWashington St
17.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeWake ForestWilliam & Mary
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeStanfordWake ForestWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateNorth CarolinaWashington St
15.8%
<0.1%
Florida StVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaStanfordWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaStanfordWashington St
12.9%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StNC StateWilliam & Mary
12.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
12.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StVirginia TechWashington St
12.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaStanfordWashington St
11.8%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StWake ForestWashington St
11.8%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
11.4%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
11.1%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
11.1%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
10.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
10.5%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleWake ForestWashington St
10.2%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StNorth CarolinaWashington St
9.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateStanfordWashington St
9.5%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
9.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeWake ForestWashington St
9.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateNorth CarolinaWashington St
9.1%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaStanfordWashington St
9.1%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateVirginia TechWashington St
8.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
8.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeFlorida StWashington St
8.3%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateStanfordWashington St
8.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
8.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateWake ForestWashington St
8.2%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
7.7%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
7.6%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateWake ForestWashington St
7.1%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
7.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StNC StateWashington St
6.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleStanfordWashington St
6.9%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StLouisvilleWashington St
6.9%
0.2%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
6.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
6.8%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
6.7%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleNC StateWilliam & Mary
6.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWake ForestWilliam & Mary
6.7%
<0.1%
DukeNorth CarolinaStanfordWashington St
6.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWashington St
6.5%
0.3%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
6.3%
0.2%
DukeFlorida StNC StateWashington St
6.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanfordVirginia TechWashington St
6.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StLouisvilleWilliam & Mary
6.3%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNC StateWilliam & Mary
6.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
6.3%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
6.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateWake ForestWashington St
6.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNC StateWilliam & Mary
6.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanfordVirginia TechWashington St
6.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWashington St
5.9%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateVirginia TechWashington St
5.8%
0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleWake ForestWashington St
5.7%
0.1%
CaliforniaDukeVirginia TechWashington St
5.6%
0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleVirginia TechWashington St
5.6%
0.4%
CaliforniaNC StateNorth CarolinaWashington St
5.6%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia TechWake ForestWashington St
5.6%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleVirginia TechWashington St
5.3%
0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNorth CarolinaWashington St
5.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StNorth CarolinaWashington St
5.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeLouisvilleWashington St
5.1%
0.6%
LouisvilleNC StateNorth CarolinaWashington St
5.0%
0.2%
LouisvilleNC StateStanfordWashington St
4.8%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWashington St
4.7%
0.3%
Florida StLouisvilleNC StateWashington St
4.7%
0.2%
CaliforniaNC StateVirginia TechWashington St
4.6%
0.1%
DukeLouisvilleVirginia TechWashington St
4.4%
0.4%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNC StateWilliam & Mary
4.2%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaVirginia TechWilliam & Mary
4.2%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleWake ForestWilliam & Mary
4.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNC StateWashington St
4.1%
0.2%
DukeLouisvilleNC StateWashington St
4.1%
0.5%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNC StateWashington St
3.9%
0.5%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaWake ForestWashington St
3.7%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida StVirginia TechWashington St
3.6%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleWake ForestWashington St
3.3%
0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StLouisvilleWashington St
3.2%
0.2%
DukeLouisvilleStanfordWashington St
3.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
2.9%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWashington St
2.7%
0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateWake ForestWashington St
2.6%
0.1%
CaliforniaDukeLouisvilleWilliam & Mary
2.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNorth CarolinaWilliam & Mary
1.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateVirginia TechWashington St
1.6%
0.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com