Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

0-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

23.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@GeorgiaUGA
L7-45
29/06
vsMissouri StMOST
Win prob:80%
39/13
vsEastern KentuckyEKU
Win prob:90%
49/20
@MTSUMTSU
Win prob:80%
59/27
@LouisianaUL
Win prob:50%
710/11
vsOld DominionODU
Win prob:63%
810/18
vsTexas StTXST
Win prob:43%
1010/30
@Coastal CarCCU
Win prob:76%
1111/08
vsJames MadisonJMU
Win prob:42%
1211/15
@Georgia StGAST
Win prob:79%
1311/22
@Appalachian StAPP
Win prob:50%
1411/29
vsGa SouthernGASO
Win prob:75%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
1.3%
100.0%
7-1
8.0%
75.5%
6-2
21.1%
45.8%
5-3
29.2%
19.3%
4-4
24.1%
3.2%
3-5
12.1%
0.0%
2-6
3.5%
0%
1-7
0.6%
0%
0-8
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

Texas StateTexas St
51.7%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
22.8%
TroyTroy
12.2%
LouisianaLouisiana
11.1%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
2.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
Charleston SouthernCHSO@Coastal CarCCU
22.7%
(-0.9%)		23.6%
(+0.1%)
MemphisMEM@Georgia StGAST
23.5%
(-0.0%)		23.6%
(+0.1%)
Texas StTXST@UT San AntonioUTSA
23.4%
(-0.1%)		23.6%
(+0.1%)
Ga SouthernGASO@USCUSC
22.4%
(-1.2%)		23.6%
(+0.1%)
North Carolina CentralNCCU@Old DominionODU
23.4%
(-0.1%)		23.5%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
23.4%
(-0.2%)		23.5%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@ClemsonCLEM
23.4%
(-0.1%)		23.5%
(+0.0%)
McNeeseMCN@LouisianaUL
24.1%
(+0.6%)		23.4%
(-0.1%)
TulaneTULN@South AlabamaUSA
23.5%
(+0.1%)		23.4%
(-0.1%)
James MadisonJMU@LouisvilleLOU
22.9%
(-0.5%)		23.8%
(+0.3%)
Jackson StateJKST@Southern MissUSM
23.8%
(+0.3%)		23.5%
(-0.0%)
Missouri StMOST@MarshallMRSH
23.6%
(+0.1%)		23.5%
(-0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
23.9%
(+0.4%)		23.5%
(-0.0%)
LindenwoodLIN@Appalachian StAPP
23.4%
(-0.1%)		23.5%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.7%
Any 1 loss
77.6%
5.1%
Texas St
100.0%
1.0%
Eastern Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana
100.0%
0.8%
Missouri St
100.0%
0.2%
MTSU
100.0%
0.2%
Coastal Car
99.5%
0.2%
Georgia St
99.5%
0.2%
Ga Southern
89.0%
0.3%
Appalachian St
77.5%
0.7%
Old Dominion
67.0%
0.4%
James Madison
21.1%
1.0%
Any 2 losses
51.3%
15.1%
LouisianaMissouri St
100.0%
0.2%
LouisianaTexas St
100.0%
1.0%
LouisianaMTSU
100.0%
0.2%
MTSUTexas St
100.0%
0.3%
Eastern KentuckyLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyTexas St
100.0%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia St
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas St
100.0%
0.3%
Eastern KentuckyMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StTexas St
98.8%
0.3%
Coastal CarTexas St
98.7%
0.3%
Georgia StLouisiana
98.5%
0.2%
Coastal CarMTSU
98.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisiana
97.8%
0.2%
Georgia StMissouri St
93.3%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa Southern
91.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisiana
91.6%
0.3%
Ga SouthernMTSU
91.4%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernTexas St
90.3%
0.3%
Ga SouthernMissouri St
87.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMissouri St
81.0%
0.2%
Appalachian StTexas St
80.9%
1.0%
Appalachian StMTSU
79.0%
0.2%
Appalachian StEastern Kentucky
78.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana
77.3%
0.7%
Missouri StOld Dominion
75.7%
0.1%
Old DominionTexas St
74.2%
0.6%
MTSUOld Dominion
69.2%
0.1%
LouisianaOld Dominion
69.2%
0.4%
Eastern KentuckyOld Dominion
67.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia St
42.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa Southern
30.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia St
26.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonMissouri St
23.2%
0.2%
James MadisonTexas St
22.8%
1.4%
James MadisonLouisiana
22.7%
1.0%
Appalachian StGeorgia St
21.6%
0.2%
Eastern KentuckyJames Madison
20.7%
0.1%
James MadisonMTSU
20.4%
0.3%
Appalachian StCoastal Car
19.7%
0.3%
Coastal CarOld Dominion
18.2%
0.1%
Georgia StOld Dominion
11.1%
0.1%
Appalachian StGa Southern
11.0%
0.3%
Ga SouthernOld Dominion
6.3%
0.1%
Appalachian StOld Dominion
6.0%
0.4%
Coastal CarJames Madison
4.0%
0.3%
Georgia StJames Madison
2.6%
0.3%
Ga SouthernJames Madison
1.2%
0.3%
James MadisonOld Dominion
0.8%
0.6%
Appalachian StJames Madison
0.7%
1.0%
Any 3 losses
33.5%
21.4%
LouisianaMTSUTexas St
100.0%
0.3%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia StLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMissouri StTexas St
100.0%
0.3%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLouisianaTexas St
100.0%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia StTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMissouri StTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMTSUTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLouisianaMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLouisianaMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLouisianaMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLouisianaMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMissouri StTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMTSUTexas St
98.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMissouri StTexas St
98.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StLouisianaTexas St
98.6%
0.3%
Coastal CarLouisianaMTSU
98.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaTexas St
98.1%
0.3%
Coastal CarMTSUTexas St
97.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaMissouri St
96.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMissouri StTexas St
93.2%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa SouthernTexas St
93.2%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa SouthernLouisiana
92.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaMTSU
91.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaMissouri St
90.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaTexas St
89.6%
0.4%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia StMissouri St
85.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyMissouri St
85.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMTSUTexas St
84.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMissouri St
83.7%
0.2%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyLouisiana
82.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMissouri StTexas St
82.2%
0.3%
Appalachian StLouisianaTexas St
81.8%
1.0%
Missouri StOld DominionTexas St
80.9%
0.1%
Appalachian StMTSUTexas St
80.2%
0.3%
Ga SouthernMTSUMissouri St
78.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyTexas St
78.5%
0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMTSU
77.1%
0.2%
MTSUOld DominionTexas St
75.2%
0.1%
Appalachian StMTSUMissouri St
74.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld DominionTexas St
73.5%
0.6%
Eastern KentuckyLouisianaOld Dominion
73.5%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMissouri StOld Dominion
72.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMTSUOld Dominion
70.3%
0.1%
LouisianaMissouri StOld Dominion
70.1%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa SouthernMTSU
70.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyOld DominionTexas St
67.1%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa SouthernMissouri St
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyMTSU
63.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StMTSU
61.5%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StOld Dominion
53.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StLouisiana
46.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StTexas St
42.9%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMTSUOld Dominion
41.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyGeorgia St
40.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StLouisiana
39.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StTexas St
35.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernMTSU
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StMissouri St
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StMTSU
30.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernTexas St
28.0%
0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaTexas St
27.2%
1.3%
Coastal CarGa SouthernLouisiana
27.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StMTSU
26.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StMissouri St
25.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarLouisiana
24.9%
0.2%
Eastern KentuckyJames MadisonLouisiana
24.5%
0.1%
James MadisonMTSUTexas St
24.2%
0.4%
Eastern KentuckyJames MadisonTexas St
23.7%
0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarMissouri St
23.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StMTSUOld Dominion
23.7%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGeorgia StOld Dominion
23.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarTexas St
23.4%
0.3%
James MadisonMissouri StTexas St
22.4%
0.4%
Appalachian StGeorgia StTexas St
22.0%
0.2%
Coastal CarGa SouthernMissouri St
21.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaMissouri St
21.2%
0.3%
Appalachian StCoastal CarEastern Kentucky
21.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StMissouri St
21.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonMTSUMissouri St
20.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyGeorgia St
20.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLouisianaOld Dominion
19.8%
0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyGa Southern
18.5%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaMTSU
18.2%
0.2%
Georgia StOld DominionTexas St
17.5%
0.2%
Appalachian StGeorgia StLouisiana
17.4%
0.2%
Ga SouthernMTSUOld Dominion
17.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaOld Dominion
16.6%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJames MadisonMissouri St
16.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernTexas St
14.3%
0.3%
Coastal CarOld DominionTexas St
14.0%
0.2%
Appalachian StGa SouthernLouisiana
13.7%
0.3%
Appalachian StGa SouthernMTSU
13.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StMissouri StOld Dominion
13.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernMissouri St
12.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMissouri StOld Dominion
12.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyOld Dominion
11.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionTexas St
11.3%
0.2%
Appalachian StCoastal CarMTSU
10.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaOld Dominion
9.3%
0.1%
Coastal CarMTSUOld Dominion
9.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyJames Madison
8.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaOld Dominion
7.9%
0.4%
Coastal CarEastern KentuckyOld Dominion
7.1%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyGa SouthernJames Madison
7.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld DominionTexas St
6.7%
0.6%
Georgia StJames MadisonTexas St
6.3%
0.3%
Coastal CarJames MadisonLouisiana
6.3%
0.3%
Coastal CarJames MadisonMTSU
5.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonTexas St
5.6%
0.4%
Appalachian StMTSUOld Dominion
5.5%
0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonMissouri St
5.5%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJames MadisonMTSU
5.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonLouisiana
4.0%
0.3%
Appalachian StMissouri StOld Dominion
3.8%
0.1%
Ga SouthernMissouri StOld Dominion
3.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonLouisiana
2.9%
0.3%
Georgia StJames MadisonMTSU
2.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonTexas St
2.0%
0.4%
James MadisonMissouri StOld Dominion
2.0%
0.1%
Appalachian StEastern KentuckyJames Madison
1.9%
0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonMissouri St
1.8%
0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJames MadisonOld Dominion
1.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonMissouri St
1.5%
0.3%
Georgia StJames MadisonMissouri St
1.4%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonMTSU
1.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonTexas St
1.1%
1.3%
Appalachian StJames MadisonLouisiana
0.9%
0.9%
Appalachian StJames MadisonMTSU
0.8%
0.2%
James MadisonLouisianaOld Dominion
0.8%
0.6%
James MadisonOld DominionTexas St
0.8%
0.7%
James MadisonMTSUOld Dominion
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com