Arkansas

ArkansasRazorbacks

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

ArkansasSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsAlabama A&MAAMU
W52-7
29/06
vsArkansas StARST(N)
Win prob:79%
39/13
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:8%
49/20
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:38%
59/27
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:4%
710/11
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:17%
810/18
vsTexas A&MTA&M
Win prob:40%
910/25
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:53%
1011/01
vsMississippi StMSST
Win prob:77%
1211/15
@LSULSU
Win prob:23%
1311/22
@TexasTEX
Win prob:12%
1411/29
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:48%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
86.5%
6-2
1.0%
29.8%
5-3
6.2%
0.3%
4-4
19.0%
0%
3-5
31.9%
0%
2-6
28.2%
0%
1-7
11.9%
0%
0-8
1.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Arkansas CCG Opponents

if Arkansas makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
62.5%
Ole MissMississippi
22.5%
TexasTexas
7.5%
TennesseeTennessee
5.0%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.5%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasThis Week's Impact

Game
ArkansasCCG OddsAway
ArkansasCCG OddsHome
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Austin PeayAPSU@GeorgiaUGA
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South CarolinaSC
0.5%
(+0.1%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
0.3%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
East Tennessee StateETSU@TennesseeTENN
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.1%)
MississippiMISS@KentuckyUK
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.1%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Arkansas CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Notre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
73.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexas
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
40.6%
0.3%
MissouriNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StAuburnNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippiNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippiTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNotre DameTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTexas A&M
71.4%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiMissouri
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTennessee
47.8%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTexas
44.4%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennesseeTexas
34.3%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
MississippiMissouriNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennesseeTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriNotre DameTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexasTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTennessee
21.4%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTexas
18.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
24.1%
0.6%
Arkansas StAuburnMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMemphisMississippiNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMemphisNotre DameTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMemphisMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUMemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi StNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StNotre DameTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StAuburnNotre DameTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUMemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi StNotre DameTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippi StNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMemphisNotre DameTexas
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StAuburnMississippiNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTennessee
51.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNotre DameTexasTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUMississippiNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StAuburnNotre DameTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMemphisNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMissouriNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi StNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StMissouriNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTexasTexas A&M
47.4%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennesseeTexas A&M
46.2%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisNotre DameTexas
44.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisMississippiNotre Dame
41.7%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre DameTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTexas A&M
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNotre DameTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre DameTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippiNotre DameTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippiNotre Dame
32.7%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTexas
32.3%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiMissouriNotre Dame
31.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippiNotre DameTennessee
30.8%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennesseeTexas
26.1%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StNotre DameTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre DameTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriNotre DameTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNotre DameTennesseeTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNotre DameTexas
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNotre DameTexasTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTennessee
19.1%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTexas
13.5%
0.1%
Arkansas StMississippiNotre DameTexas
6.7%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriNotre DameTexas
5.6%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNotre DameTexas
1.4%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com