Cincinnati

CincinnatiBearcats

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CincinnatiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsNebraskaNEB(N)
L17-20
29/06
vsBowling GreenBGSU
W34-20
39/13
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
Win prob:90%
59/27
@KansasKU
Win prob:23%
610/04
vsIowa StISU
Win prob:37%
710/11
vsUCFUCF
Win prob:47%
810/18
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:62%
910/25
vsBaylorBAY
Win prob:45%
1011/01
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:23%
1211/15
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:61%
1311/22
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:34%
1411/29
@TCUTCU
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
99.3%
7-2
1.3%
72.0%
6-3
5.9%
11.3%
5-4
15.6%
0.0%
4-5
26.1%
0%
3-6
27.2%
0%
2-7
17.1%
0%
1-8
5.9%
0%
0-9
0.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Cincinnati CCG Opponents

if Cincinnati makes the CCG

TCUTCU
31.7%
Arizona StateArizona St
27.6%
Iowa StateIowa St
15.4%
KansasKansas
13.8%
BYUBYU
11.4%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiThis Week's Impact

Game
CincinnatiCCG OddsAway
CincinnatiCCG OddsHome
SamfordSAM@BaylorBAY
1.7%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@CincinnatiCIN
1.9%
(+0.1%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
Iowa StISU@Arkansas StARST
1.7%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.1%)
Kansas StKSU@ArizonaARIZ
1.7%
(-0.1%)		1.9%
(+0.1%)
Texas StTXST@Arizona StASU
1.8%
(+0.1%)		1.7%
(-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@WyomingWYO
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Abilene ChristianACU@TCUTCU
1.8%
(+0.1%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@HoustonHOU
1.7%
(-0.0%)		1.9%
(+0.1%)
PittsburghPITT@West VirginiaWVU
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
Oregon StORST@Texas TechTTU
1.6%
(-0.2%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Cincinnati

SamfordSamfordNorthwestern StateNorthwestern StateArkansas StArkansas StateTexas StTexas StateWyomingWyomingAbilene ChristianAbilene Christian

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Cincinnati

UtahUtahPittsburghPittsburghTexas TechTexas Tech

CCG: 1.9% • Scenario: 26.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Cincinnati CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
99.2%
0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
100.0%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Baylor
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
TCU
97.4%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
71.6%
1.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
93.3%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
93.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
90.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
90.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas
89.3%
<0.1%
UCFUtah
87.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYU
87.5%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa St
78.6%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
78.6%
<0.1%
BaylorTCU
78.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
76.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUIowa St
73.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
73.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
72.2%
<0.1%
TCUUCF
71.7%
<0.1%
BYUKansas
71.1%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
70.4%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
70.2%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
69.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StUCF
69.2%
<0.1%
BYUUtah
68.6%
<0.1%
BYUTCU
67.6%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
66.0%
0.1%
BaylorUtah
64.3%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
64.1%
0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
62.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
58.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
58.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa St
57.1%
<0.1%
BYUUCF
56.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
12.6%
5.4%
Northwestern StateOklahoma StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateOklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateOklahoma StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateUCFUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorthwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern StateUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateUtah
90.9%
<0.1%
BYUKansasNorthwestern State
85.7%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateUtah
81.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern StateUtah
80.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCUUtah
73.3%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern StateTCU
72.7%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCUUCF
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StNorthwestern State
66.7%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateTCU
61.5%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasNorthwestern State
60.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern StateTCU
55.6%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateTCU
53.8%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
42.9%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasOklahoma St
42.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
38.5%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUCF
37.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUOklahoma St
28.6%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StOklahoma St
28.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
25.8%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas
25.0%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorOklahoma St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma St
25.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFUtah
22.2%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUtah
21.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUKansas
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma St
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUtah
19.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUCF
19.4%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
19.4%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtah
18.8%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
18.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUCF
18.2%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUCF
17.8%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUCF
17.6%
0.2%
BYUKansasOklahoma St
17.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorUtah
15.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUTCU
15.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
15.0%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUCF
14.6%
0.1%
ArizonaBYUIowa St
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtah
14.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
13.9%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCU
13.8%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUtah
13.6%
0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
13.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
13.5%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorTCU
13.4%
0.1%
BYUKansasUtah
13.2%
0.1%
BaylorIowa StKansas
13.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCU
12.8%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorKansas
12.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUUtah
12.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasTCU
11.8%
0.2%
BYUKansasUCF
11.5%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUtah
11.5%
0.2%
BYUOklahoma StUCF
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
10.9%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StUtah
10.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
BYUUCFUtah
9.6%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorIowa St
9.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
8.6%
<0.1%
TCUUCFUtah
8.5%
0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
8.1%
0.4%
Iowa StTCUUtah
8.1%
0.2%
ArizonaIowa StTCU
7.5%
<0.1%
BYUKansasTCU
7.4%
0.3%
Iowa StKansasTCU
7.4%
0.2%
Iowa StUCFUtah
7.3%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTCU
7.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansas
6.9%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUtah
6.6%
0.3%
Iowa StKansasUtah
6.4%
0.1%
BaylorIowa StTCU
6.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtah
5.1%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUtah
4.9%
0.1%
BYUIowa StKansas
4.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah
4.8%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StTCU
4.3%
0.1%
BYUIowa StOklahoma St
4.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUCF
3.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com