NebraskaCornhuskers

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCincinnatiCIN(N)	W20-17
2	9/06	vsAkronAKR	W68-0
3	9/13	vsHouston ChristianHCU	Win prob:90%
4	9/20	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:25%
6	10/04	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:73%
7	10/11	@MarylandMD	Win prob:44%
8	10/17	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:29%
9	10/25	vsNorthwesternNU	Win prob:73%
10	11/01	vsUSCUSC	Win prob:18%
11	11/08	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:59%
13	11/22	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:3%
14	11/28	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:35%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.1%	75.6%
7-2	1.0%	12.1%
6-3	5.7%	0.1%
5-4	16.9%	0%
4-5	28.3%	0%
3-6	28.0%	0%
2-7	15.3%	0%
1-8	4.2%	0%
0-9	0.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

61.1%

22.2%

5.6%

5.6%

5.6%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Central MichiganCMU@MichiganMICH	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@Penn StatePSU	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@UCLAUCLA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Houston ChristianHCU@NebraskaNEB	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Youngstown StateYSU@Michigan StateMSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@IllinoisILL	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
USCUSC@PurduePUR	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.1%)
Indiana StateINST@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@CaliforniaCAL	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Norfolk StateNORF@RutgersRUTG	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
TowsonTOW@MarylandMD	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
OregonORE@NorthwesternNU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@IowaIOWA	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

72.6%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

85.7%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

12.9%

0.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

38.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

24.0%

<0.1%

19.1%

<0.1%

16.0%

<0.1%

13.9%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.6%

<0.1%

9.2%

0.1%

7.0%

0.3%

5.7%

0.2%

Any 3 losses

2.2%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

17.6%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

1.4%

<0.1%

1.1%

<0.1%

0.6%

0.2%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com