Houston

HoustonCougars

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HoustonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsStephen F. AustinSFA
W27-0
29/06
@RiceRICE
W35-9
39/12
vsColoradoCOLO
Win prob:26%
59/26
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:43%
610/04
vsTexas TechTTU
Win prob:31%
710/11
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:48%
810/18
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:47%
910/25
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:10%
1011/01
vsWest VirginiaWVU
Win prob:44%
1111/07
@UCFUCF
Win prob:21%
1311/22
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:16%
1411/29
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:19%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
95.2%
7-2
0.2%
69.7%
6-3
1.4%
6.6%
5-4
6.1%
0.0%
4-5
16.6%
0%
3-6
27.4%
0%
2-7
28.3%
0%
1-8
16.2%
0%
0-9
3.7%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Houston CCG Opponents

if Houston makes the CCG

TCUTCU
27.8%
Arizona StateArizona St
22.2%
Iowa StateIowa St
16.7%
BYUBYU
16.7%
KansasKansas
16.7%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonThis Week's Impact

Game
HoustonCCG OddsAway
HoustonCCG OddsHome
SamfordSAM@BaylorBAY
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@CincinnatiCIN
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Iowa StISU@Arkansas StARST
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@ArizonaARIZ
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
Texas StTXST@Arizona StASU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@WyomingWYO
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Abilene ChristianACU@TCUTCU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@HoustonHOU
0.1%
(-0.2%)		0.8%
(+0.5%)
PittsburghPITT@West VirginiaWVU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Oregon StORST@Texas TechTTU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Houston

SamfordSamfordCincinnatiCincinnatiArkansas StArkansas StateArizonaArizonaTexas StTexas StateHoustonHoustonWest VirginiaWest VirginiaOregon StOregon State

CCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Houston

HoustonHouston

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 26.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Houston CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Baylor
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
60.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaColorado
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas Tech
71.4%
<0.1%
BaylorColorado
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorTCU
60.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StColorado
58.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCF
44.4%
<0.1%
TCUUCF
40.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
27.3%
0.4%
BaylorOregon StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon StWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StOregon St
85.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUWest Virginia
75.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas Tech
71.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOregon St
71.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon St
66.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCU
66.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StUCF
64.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoOregon St
60.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon StTCU
57.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCU
47.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon StUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StTexas Tech
28.6%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
25.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTexas TechUCF
22.2%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUTexas Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechUCF
16.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFWest Virginia
13.3%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
9.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylor
8.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUCF
5.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorTexas Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUTexas Tech
5.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorColorado
5.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoUCF
4.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUUCF
3.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoTCU
3.2%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
11.1%
0.6%
ArizonaColoradoOklahoma StOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoOregon StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoOregon StTexas Tech
40.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StOregon StWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StUCFWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon StTexas TechUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTexas TechWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOklahoma StOregon St
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaColoradoOregon StUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOregon StUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTexas TechUCF
17.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StOregon StUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StTexas TechUCFWest Virginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTexas Tech
16.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOregon StTCUUCF
15.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOregon StTCU
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StColoradoOregon St
12.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOregon StWest Virginia
12.5%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoOklahoma StTexas Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorColoradoOregon St
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUUCF
10.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylorOregon St
10.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOregon StTCUTexas Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StTCU
8.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StTCUTexas TechUCF
7.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCUUCF
7.4%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoOregon StUCF
7.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StOregon StTCUUCF
7.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StUCFWest Virginia
7.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StUCF
6.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOregon StWest Virginia
6.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoOregon StTCU
5.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StOregon StTCUTexas Tech
5.0%
<0.1%
BaylorColoradoOregon StTCU
4.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

HoustonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com